South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-08-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13906efec6fe0a6fd1b39a3bf6ea71d0160c85c88042bae3d6d7014da593860a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed No | 76c | 19,890$15,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,816.27 | 197 | 55.8%110 W · 87 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 34c | 14,134$4,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,834.66 | 2,376 | 34.7%824 W · 1,552 L | -27.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3ddcbacked No | 64c | 12,280$7,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,412.9 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 6,200$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.67 | 8,175 | 48.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L | +27.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed No | 66c | 3,186$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.32 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed No | 57c | 2,816$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 14c | 2,460$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.57 | 595 | 39.7%236 W · 359 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 27c | 2,063$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.7 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 28c | 1,704$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.04 | 1,511 | 46.1%697 W · 814 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 44c | 1,470$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.07 | 519 | 35.5%184 W · 335 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 6c | 1,396$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.86 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Yes | 35c | 1,296$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.57 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,055 | 49.3%520 W · 535 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 1,308 | 53.7%702 W · 606 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 43c | 932$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.76 | 1,261 | 53.6%676 W · 585 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 57c | 743.52$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.71 | 1,703 | 52%886 W · 817 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 57c | 670.54$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.33 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 2c | 631.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 44c | 478$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.32 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 44c | 447.51$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.04 | 395 | 32.4%128 W · 267 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…ae3dbacked No | 56c | 445.57$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.05 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.8wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +146.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked No | 76c | 442.32$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.88 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 55c | 380.19$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.09 | 326 | 40.2%131 W · 195 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 29c | 366$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.96 | 244 | 37.3%91 W · 153 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 80c | 359.38$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -26.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 19c | 266.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 542 | 45.4%246 W · 296 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 69c | 258.7$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.2 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 56c | 228.91$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.72 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed No | 56c | 224$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.56 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 56c | 219.4$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.54 | 106 | 60.4%64 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 69c | 199.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 207 | 36.7%76 W · 131 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 16c | 192.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 57c | 172.77$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 56c | 153.88$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.19 | 2,655 | 54.2%1,440 W · 1,215 L | +27.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ea…90e8backed Yes | 15c | 142.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 31c | 125.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 343 | 41.1%141 W · 202 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 505 | 46.7%236 W · 269 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked No | 70c | 121.7$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 69c | 116.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 524 | 43.3%227 W · 297 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x638a…64e2backed Yes | 43c | 110.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 30c | 107$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 1,559 | 45.1%703 W · 856 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 79c | 102.5$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e87…e4e7backed No | 57c | 82.21$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Yes | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 43c | 79.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 3,449 | 51.4%1,773 W · 1,676 L | +22.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 19c | 79.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 286 | 34.6%99 W · 187 L | -16.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 31c | 73.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 657 | 61.3%403 W · 254 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 503 | 35.4%178 W · 325 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 31c | 69.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 240 | 45%108 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 28c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 69c | 55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 27c | 52.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 450 | 46.2%208 W · 242 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 69c | 48.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked No | 58c | 48.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 57c | 40.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 1,325 | 50%663 W · 662 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 43c | 34.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff10…eeffbacked No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Yes | 36c | 32.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 155 | 65.8%102 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked No | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c55…4a8cbacked Yes | 42c | 30.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 70c | 26.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc6…fb63backed Yes | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4f…000ebacked No | 69c | 21.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 445 | 61.6%274 W · 171 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-08-23?this page
- Will Atlético San Luis vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-08-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.