South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Atlético San Luis vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e89755bccddc4071807461c1b62bf97b2829d16b6abf68863334b7a8756798a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 73c | 4,824$3,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,535.46 | 2,376 | 34.7%824 W · 1,552 L | -27.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 73c | 4,101$2,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.73 | 223 | 65%145 W · 78 L | +22.8wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 38c | 4,071$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,509.11 | 2,608 | 39.3%1,024 W · 1,584 L | -29.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 73c | 3,786$2,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.84 | 253 | 66.4%168 W · 85 L | +27.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 74c | 2,750$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.85 | 211 | 64.5%136 W · 75 L | +23.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 42c | 2,060$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.45 | 137 | 73%100 W · 37 L | +21.4wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 77c | 2,026$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.52 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 25c | 1,860$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.15 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 72c | 1,391$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391 | 161 | 68.9%111 W · 50 L | +23.1wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x34dd…0ce8backed No | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89a…5f21backed Yes | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +186.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 61c | 1,204$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.73 | 389 | 39.6%154 W · 235 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 59c | 1,126$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.53 | 286 | 34.6%99 W · 187 L | -16.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa698…9c3dbacked No | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f0…b9bdbacked No | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6214…c4a0backed No | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee6…a1efbacked No | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e79…c23cbacked No | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 6c | 1,064$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.82 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 47c | 1,050$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.47 | 595 | 39.7%236 W · 359 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 110 | 64.5%71 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 66c | 980.87$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.59 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe366…6de2backed Yes | 80c | 972.4$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 75c | 922$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.44 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 902.61$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.01 | 5,831 | 45.4%2,647 W · 3,184 L | +99.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb18…9897backed No | 28c | 892.85$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb78…f224backed No | 28c | 892.85$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…5782backed No | 28c | 892.85$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf99c…6d74backed No | 28c | 892.85$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…1296backed No | 23c | 869.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffe…ffe4backed No | 23c | 867.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 738.93$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.48 | 8,175 | 48.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L | +27.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 56c | 733.63$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.52 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a0…217abacked No | 27c | 562.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +178.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 28c | 536.62$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.43 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -26.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 36c | 504.57$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.83 | 343 | 41.1%141 W · 202 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 64c | 433.98$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.66 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked No | 35c | 371.06$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.31 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 69c | 333.49$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.82 | 524 | 43.3%227 W · 297 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 75c | 289.89$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.07 | 542 | 45.4%246 W · 296 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 28c | 245.68$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.78 | 503 | 35.4%178 W · 325 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 73c | 217.26$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.6 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 71c | 214.92$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd494…bfafbacked No | 25c | 180.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +236.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Yes | 11c | 147.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.29 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +73%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 22c | 132$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 1,559 | 45.1%703 W · 856 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 71c | 125$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.75 | 505 | 46.7%236 W · 269 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…ba95backed No | 71c | 123.31$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.74 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 54c | 118.11$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.67 | 930 | 46.3%431 W · 499 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 35c | 114.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 1,055 | 49.3%520 W · 535 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 78c | 114.1$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 1,339 | 56.9%762 W · 577 L | +55.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed No | 62c | 107$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -7.6wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 3,449 | 51.4%1,773 W · 1,676 L | +22.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 28c | 96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 197 | 49.7%98 W · 99 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes | 71c | 91.27$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +7.1wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 29c | 86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 54c | 84.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa261…af5bbacked Yes | 80c | 83.76$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x541f…61f4backed Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 29c | 74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 46c | 71.55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 73c | 70.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 934 | 45.1%421 W · 513 L | -28.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Yes | 70c | 70.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Yes | 44c | 66.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 23c | 63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 742 | 58.5%434 W · 308 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 71c | 55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 28c | 54.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yes | 31c | 47.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…b1debacked No | 27c | 46.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…b08bbacked No | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 63c | 24.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 1,272 | 56.1%713 W · 559 L | +72.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…1988backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed No | 63c | 16.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 73c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 565 | 37.5%212 W · 353 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlético San Luis vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw?this page
- Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-08-23?No won
- Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-08-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.