TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Brescia: Mia Ristic vs Deborah Chiesa

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mia Risticof Mia Ristic, Deborah Chiesa
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$161,265
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$158,395

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,265 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Deborah Chiesa39c48,416$19,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,108.9693740.6%380 W · 557 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Mia Ristic60c39,866$23,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,873.078,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Deborah Chiesa42c7,746$3,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,287.48,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Mia Ristic63c4,904$3,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,807.964,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Mia Ristic59c3,863$2,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,592.263,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Mia Ristic61c3,598$2,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,392.119,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mia Ristic38c2,891$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,792.0111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Deborah Chiesa39c2,659$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.716,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Deborah Chiesa53c2,051$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.5741645.4%189 W · 227 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Deborah Chiesa42c1,423$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.221,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Deborah Chiesa59c1,382$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.94,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Mia Ristic55c1,121$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.753,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Mia Ristic62c1,004$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.251,03150.3%519 W · 512 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24fd…1250backed Deborah Chiesa1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104729.8%14 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdf5…d359backed Mia Ristic48c999.99$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5235127.5%14 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Mia Ristic45c945.29$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.852,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Deborah Chiesa42c636.24$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.958,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe89c…9c72backed Mia Ristic72c506.94$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.9443054.9%236 W · 194 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a92…6b00backed Mia Ristic72c506.94$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.9447651.9%247 W · 229 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Mia Ristic55c500.5$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.4423954.8%131 W · 108 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a3e…cd83backed Mia Ristic73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13544552.8%235 W · 210 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Mia Ristic48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26017646%81 W · 95 L+11.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Deborah Chiesa47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2354,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68e1…b2fabacked Mia Ristic73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13552355.6%291 W · 232 L+26.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d5a…d0f0backed Mia Ristic73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13546155.3%255 W · 206 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Deborah Chiesa40c488.24$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.596,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Mia Ristic71c484.33$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.416,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1a0…fb89backed Mia Ristic57c441.33$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.3318741.2%77 W · 110 L+0.9wins0.00per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Deborah Chiesa42c420$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.41,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Mia Ristic62c387.78$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.8760651.8%314 W · 292 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Mia Ristic60c327.86$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.141,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Deborah Chiesa41c280.74$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.896,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Deborah Chiesa39c258.21$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.77,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Mia Ristic61c256.57$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.068757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Mia Ristic77c255$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.651,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Deborah Chiesa40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Mia Ristic62c219.5$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2185742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Mia Ristic58c216.99$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.1438952.2%203 W · 186 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04c7…c7a7backed Mia Ristic58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8418551.4%95 W · 90 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Mia Ristic58c199.22$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.6723247%109 W · 123 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Deborah Chiesa41c197$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7756744.6%253 W · 314 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b0…cfa1backed Mia Ristic55c195.62$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.719037.8%34 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Mia Ristic58c184$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8273748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Mia Ristic55c180.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7478847.5%374 W · 414 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Mia Ristic59c167.63$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.731,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Mia Ristic53c166.41$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.451,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Mia Ristic60c164.98$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8376853%407 W · 361 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Deborah Chiesa22c164.04$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.091,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Deborah Chiesa24c150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Mia Ristic72c137.76$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.761,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Deborah Chiesa50c132$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.41,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Deborah Chiesa38c117$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4643950.8%223 W · 216 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Deborah Chiesa39c107.1$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.295,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Deborah Chiesa43c105.16$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0896945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Deborah Chiesa50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.61,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed Deborah Chiesa39c98.31$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7556153.7%301 W · 260 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Deborah Chiesa44c96.77$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.291755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…5696backed Mia Ristic77c96.73$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4321688%190 W · 26 L+35.2wins+0.16per pick72cpaid+22.4%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Mia Ristic59c92.35$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4948652.1%253 W · 233 L-1.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Deborah Chiesa47c91.3$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.321,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Mia Ristic44c88.71$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.683,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Deborah Chiesa42c85.71$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Mia Ristic59c83.87$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9761752.5%324 W · 293 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Mia Ristic59c80.33$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.951,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Mia Ristic71c79.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.275350.5%380 W · 373 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Mia Ristic72c76.6$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.451,23446.3%571 W · 663 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Mia Ristic60c75.67$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4660446.7%282 W · 322 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Mia Ristic59c75.2$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.833,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Deborah Chiesa42c73.81$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3179646%366 W · 430 L+1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabbc…04a3backed Deborah Chiesa42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018957.7%109 W · 80 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Mia Ristic28c70.65$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.171,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Mia Ristic72c69.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4943552.9%230 W · 205 L+0.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed Deborah Chiesa40c68$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0411337.2%42 W · 71 L-10.3wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Deborah Chiesa44c66.86$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.422,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Deborah Chiesa41c66.46$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.251,02157.8%590 W · 431 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Mia Ristic77c64$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.721,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Deborah Chiesa38c57.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0492046.6%429 W · 491 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Mia Ristic67c56$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4881255.3%449 W · 363 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Mia Ristic71c55$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7272755.6%404 W · 323 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6195…388abacked Mia Ristic56c54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7618850%94 W · 94 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Mia Ristic56c53.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9630055.7%167 W · 133 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Mia Ristic59c52.44$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.53,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Mia Ristic59c52.04$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1323444.9%105 W · 129 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Deborah Chiesa38c52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.764,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c97…5c66backed Mia Ristic59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8548355.1%266 W · 217 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Mia Ristic60c50.04$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.061,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8741…5b0abacked Deborah Chiesa52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.94351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Deborah Chiesa41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.52,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92c8…45f6backed Deborah Chiesa40c49.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5822544.4%100 W · 125 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Mia Ristic47c44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3263144.1%278 W · 353 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe432…a4a4backed Deborah Chiesa57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252623.1%6 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc378…5e4cbacked Mia Ristic49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.825373.6%39 W · 14 L+8.2wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+34%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6ef6…9b93backed Mia Ristic60c40.31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.22744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Mia Ristic61c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.684640%338 W · 508 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8a…a117backed Mia Ristic71c39.06$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.239657.3%55 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55c6…0d49backed Mia Ristic80c38.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.624381.4%35 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick78cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Deborah Chiesa43c37.82$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.341,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x829a…a748backed Mia Ristic56c35.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8514449.3%71 W · 73 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Deborah Chiesa48c35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.722,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Mia Ristic57c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.051,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.