MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c55de891a3833c0636306238b40ec10ffaf95acba88ba2c76108c44a6a951c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof Nationals, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Nationals | 47c | 8,720$4,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,631.2 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cardinals | 53c | 7,634$4,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,043.63 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Cardinals | 35c | 6,256$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.8 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Nationals | 45c | 6,053$2,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,316.49 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…51c6backed Cardinals | 7c | 4,879$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.83 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nationals | 65c | 3,938$2,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.17 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cardinals | 55c | 3,819$2,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100.72 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cardinals | 57c | 3,070$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cardinals | 53c | 2,526$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.78 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Cardinals | 56c | 2,304$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.48 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Cardinals | 1c | 2,238$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nationals | 43c | 2,231$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.63 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Nationals | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nationals | 41c | 1,822$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.7 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cardinals | 22c | 1,818$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Cardinals | 31c | 1,717$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.33 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nationals | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Nationals | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Cardinals | 54c | 976$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.04 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…cac8backed Cardinals | 4c | 839.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 14c | 825.08$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.17 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Nationals | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Nationals | 46c | 799.99$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Cardinals | 50c | 772.84$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.56 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Cardinals | 54c | 748.98$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.98 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbccd…6aeebacked Cardinals | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cardinals | 2c | 673.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nationals | 60c | 580$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.79 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Cardinals | 57c | 570$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.9 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…08c6backed Cardinals | 59c | 509.08$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d8…5744backed Cardinals | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cardinals | 14c | 449.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Cardinals | 56c | 446$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.76 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Cardinals | 56c | 391$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.96 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Nationals | 45c | 382.13$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.17 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 46c | 381.02$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.24 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Cardinals | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nationals | 47c | 363.78$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.8 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Nationals | 67c | 299.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Nationals | 63c | 287.4$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.4 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Cardinals | 56c | 279$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.24 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Nationals | 44c | 279$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.24 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Cardinals | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc839…2930backed Cardinals | 13c | 245.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cardinals | 54c | 228.72$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.51 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a0…2569backed Nationals | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Nationals | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nationals | 72c | 202.05$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cardinals | 53c | 201.91$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Cardinals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cardinals | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Cardinals | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Nationals | 45c | 182$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe69b…6afdbacked Cardinals | 37c | 179.08$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.26 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Nationals | 72c | 177.77$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Cardinals | 53c | 171.72$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.01 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Cardinals | 52c | 169.43$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.1 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nationals | 78c | 160$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Cardinals | 26c | 156.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Nationals | 48c | 152.88$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…7ad7backed Cardinals | 7c | 142.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Nationals | 45c | 134$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.7 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a85…2033backed Cardinals | 56c | 121.63$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x406f…01b1backed Nationals | 45c | 114.09$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Nationals | 44c | 114$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cardinals | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…fbe9backed Cardinals | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…9f26backed Cardinals | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6187…1746backed Nationals | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Cardinals | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Cardinals | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Cardinals | 53c | 96.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Cardinals | 37c | 95.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…0cb6backed Nationals | 45c | 83.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Nationals | 69c | 78.26$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf36…b143backed Cardinals | 56c | 77.21$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc948…2224backed Cardinals | 58c | 73.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Nationals | 44c | 69.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Nationals | 46c | 68.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…d1cabacked Cardinals | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nationals | 73c | 64.79$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Cardinals | 35c | 63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…c876backed Cardinals | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Cardinals | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9b0abacked Cardinals | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Cardinals | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9961…8652backed Nationals | 72c | 47.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Cardinals | 58c | 46.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Nationals | 71c | 46.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Nationals | 49c | 42.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Nationals | 43c | 40.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Nationals | 48c | 38.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d6…1733backed Cardinals | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03a5…75acbacked Nationals | 48c | 33.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Nationals | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Nationals | 49c | 32.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nationals | 43c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.