Tweets · resolved market
Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d3596edda4860adb634c1dd72eef07c1f603dd1d0aa5e83f7f1f500022e33c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 327 | 16.8%55 W · 272 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 39c | 500$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.28 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f5…d8a1backed Yes | 16c | 375.06$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes | 6c | 371.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 160 | 23.1%37 W · 123 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 69c | 297.61$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 61c | 284.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.15 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…8a2fbacked Yes | 9c | 280.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 60c | 260$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 30c | 167.3$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e1…3fc9backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 10c | 129.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 41c | 119.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 41c | 105$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x734b…2a2cbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 32c | 96.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 312 | 42.9%134 W · 178 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 79c | 87.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 22c | 71.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380f…8229backed Yes | 35c | 58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 177 | 22.6%40 W · 137 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 24c | 54.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x213c…ab63backed Yes | 28c | 50.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 208 | 57.2%119 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 67c | 41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked Yes | 33c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea4…f403backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 61c | 37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 148 | 64.9%96 W · 52 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 65c | 32.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 76c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 145 | 75.9%110 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 48c | 28.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…6dfebacked No | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +109%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?this page
- Will White House post 0-19 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 140-159 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 200+ posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.