TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tweets · resolved market

Will White House post 200+ posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,747
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,658

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,747 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tweets
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x455c…e548backed No1c45,716$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Yes58c2,517$1,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.9725127.1%68 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No4c1,844$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.46417.2%11 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-64.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked No1c800$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.44916.7%33 W · 458 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No23c711.43$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.969057.8%52 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed No2c700$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.16915.5%38 W · 653 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No30c297.68$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1438648.2%186 W · 200 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4616…a910backed No48c291.65$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9933670.2%236 W · 100 L+22.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No40c284.99$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11414451.4%74 W · 70 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4648…0953backed Yes43c232.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.81010%1 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick5cpaid-76.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No35c185$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5519053.7%102 W · 88 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No24c165.41$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.228148.1%39 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6e…54cfbacked No47c162$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1441220.6%85 W · 327 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed No42c157.5$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.159750.5%49 W · 48 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x655c…1a00backed No41c150$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9955…85afbacked Yes57c126.45$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5918357.9%106 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed No62c117.54$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.442,54513.2%335 W · 2,210 L+4.9wins0.00per pick13cpaid-30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No15c115$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.630854.9%169 W · 139 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No43c113.2$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6779735.9%286 W · 511 L-34.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7fe…1f3ebacked No15c102.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.629740.2%39 W · 58 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.516750.3%84 W · 83 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No35c97.53$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.078752.9%46 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No30c83.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1634039.7%135 W · 205 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No54c80$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.323955.2%132 W · 107 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0489…ddf7backed No73c77.23$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3819927.6%55 W · 144 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d60…6df2backed No48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.84969.4%34 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5527…5d03backed No22c55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf225…cc69backed No21c50.22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3860%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc71b…e265backed Yes52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247445.9%34 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120857.2%119 W · 89 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac5b…2979backed Yes27c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.52176.2%16 W · 5 L+4.9wins+0.23per pick53cpaid+33.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9713…3c4ebacked No27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No39c48.25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8351018.2%93 W · 417 L-89.7wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-49.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x5e33…8901backed No46c44.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+110.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No36c41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6819756.9%112 W · 85 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8798…e58cbacked Yes56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No44c30.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5714864.9%96 W · 52 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5136…0e4fbacked No52c21.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.939654.2%52 W · 44 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2cf…464bbacked Yes56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.84459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes74c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9614575.9%110 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick75cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.