NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f240cbebba2f74d28685519c05cfcf2bb92c017445a31485d3da5152259795b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Pistons, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $165,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Pistons | 52c | 48,920$25,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,436.23 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Mavericks | 48c | 38,183$18,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,855.27 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Pistons | 57c | 29,079$16,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Pistons | 51c | 17,314$8,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,830.14 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Mavericks | 49c | 16,981$8,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,660.48 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…03a4backed Pistons | 59c | 16,851$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Mavericks | 49c | 16,827$8,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,584.02 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 42c | 14,772$6,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,594.97 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Mavericks | 48c | 11,615$5,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,021.18 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks | 43c | 11,010$4,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,326.21 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Mavericks | 48c | 10,205$4,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,306.72 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 44c | 4,882$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750.69 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pistons | 53c | 3,822$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.75 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Mavericks | 40c | 3,342$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.11 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Pistons | 50c | 3,222$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mavericks | 40c | 3,116$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.02 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pistons | 52c | 2,634$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.5 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mavericks | 46c | 2,365$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.38 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons | 56c | 1,925$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.38 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pistons | 53c | 1,835$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.61 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Pistons | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Mavericks | 49c | 1,482$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.63 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Pistons | 57c | 1,206$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.42 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mavericks | 41c | 1,170$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.25 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…dae4backed Mavericks | 47c | 955$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Mavericks | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Mavericks | 43c | 800$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Mavericks | 44c | 700$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…e8a0backed Pistons | 53c | 698.02$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Pistons | 51c | 490$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Mavericks | 55c | 445.61$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.58 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pistons | 55c | 423.95$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.29 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Mavericks | 50c | 400.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.16 | 631 | 42%265 W · 366 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Mavericks | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Mavericks | 48c | 375$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Mavericks | 44c | 363.78$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.28 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e70…889ebacked Pistons | 53c | 352$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffb2…3bb5backed Mavericks | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pistons | 35c | 305.6$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.96 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…5ee6backed Pistons | 53c | 305$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Mavericks | 40c | 300$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Pistons | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…7d49backed Pistons | 53c | 298$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Mavericks | 46c | 291.31$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.3 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Mavericks | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…9811backed Pistons | 52c | 215.35$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.98 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Mavericks | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Mavericks | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb103…e4adbacked Pistons | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mavericks | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Mavericks | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Pistons | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 57.7%90 W · 66 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Pistons | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4d…ef8bbacked Mavericks | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Mavericks | 48c | 155.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.19 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Mavericks | 48c | 155$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Mavericks | 47c | 147.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.38 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Mavericks | 46c | 145.68$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Mavericks | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3205…d8ccbacked Pistons | 51c | 137$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Mavericks | 47c | 118.13$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Pistons | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae4d…fc45backed Pistons | 54c | 91.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 26.7%31 W · 85 L | -16.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Mavericks | 42c | 87.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Pistons | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 63%80 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38b9…1cb4backed Pistons | 54c | 85.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Mavericks | 70c | 84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 166 | 69.9%116 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Mavericks | 42c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pistons | 48c | 69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Mavericks | 52c | 69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca8…ddddbacked Mavericks | 44c | 67.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 278 | 46.8%130 W · 148 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c1…812fbacked Mavericks | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Mavericks | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Pistons | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Mavericks | 46c | 58.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Mavericks | 49c | 53.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Mavericks | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Mavericks | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Pistons | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Pistons | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 141 | 27.7%39 W · 102 L | -16.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pistons | 51c | 49.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Mavericks | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 202 | 41.1%83 W · 119 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Mavericks | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Pistons | 51c | 39.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd663…05ecbacked Pistons | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Pistons | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Pistons | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Mavericks | 45c | 34.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…bd4bbacked Mavericks | 43c | 33.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…6fd5backed Mavericks | 63c | 31.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe44a…c4f8backed Pistons | 51c | 30.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Pistons | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…026dbacked Mavericks | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Pistons | 52c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…9971backed Mavericks | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 281 | 56.2%158 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Mavericks | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d12…5cdcbacked Pistons | 58c | 27.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…13b7backed Mavericks | 44c | 26.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6127backed Pistons | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Mavericks | 49c | 22.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)this page
- Pistons vs. MavericksMavericks won
- Pistons vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Pistons vs. Mavericks: O/U 227.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Mavericks: O/U 229.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.