Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs FTS - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f71396cdb60848d47f76de5c08c83c60a98beb06f6c47099a9e3b03122d033e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Synapseof Team Synapse, FTS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed FTS | 44c | 2,800$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.69 | 486 | 50.8%247 W · 239 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed FTS | 51c | 2,335$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed FTS | 59c | 1,828$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.5 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Synapse | 45c | 1,743$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.4 | 906 | 38.4%348 W · 558 L | -40.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Team Synapse | 53c | 1,659$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.38 | 486 | 57.4%279 W · 207 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed FTS | 3c | 1,469$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 343 | 2.9%10 W · 333 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb26f…9536backed FTS | 45c | 1,294$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed Team Synapse | 46c | 1,187$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.62 | 266 | 53.8%143 W · 123 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed FTS | 57c | 1,032$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.41 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Synapse | 46c | 1,015$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.66 | 688 | 47.4%326 W · 362 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Synapse | 52c | 953.06$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.9 | 704 | 33.1%233 W · 471 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked FTS | 44c | 776.11$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.46 | 198 | 55.6%110 W · 88 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…08f4backed Team Synapse | 50c | 715.85$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.33 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d70…210bbacked FTS | 49c | 708.21$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.95 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Team Synapse | 45c | 542.04$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.12 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b13…0263backed Team Synapse | 47c | 522.57$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.06 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…4d40backed Team Synapse | 69c | 507.71$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.71 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…5e5ebacked FTS | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…22acbacked FTS | 63c | 465.38$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.14 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf48f…e9b9backed FTS | 55c | 464.37$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.41 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked FTS | 37c | 422.43$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.87 | 676 | 48.4%327 W · 349 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed FTS | 47c | 402.51$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.44 | 394 | 41.1%162 W · 232 L | -18.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Team Synapse | 41c | 374.21$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.22 | 198 | 35.9%71 W · 127 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1028…f3fcbacked FTS | 56c | 364.26$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.7 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed Team Synapse | 50c | 344.99$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Team Synapse | 49c | 340$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.4 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…c757backed FTS | 6c | 313.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddb…9369backed FTS | 11c | 284.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ee…ffe2backed FTS | 52c | 251.31$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.48 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc222…f6ccbacked Team Synapse | 45c | 221.31$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Team Synapse | 44c | 219.41$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.87 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c4…b477backed FTS | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf848…8c59backed FTS | 47c | 182$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.54 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Synapse | 37c | 177.7$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.07 | 1,482 | 48.9%724 W · 758 L | +32.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…caa8backed FTS | 53c | 169.13$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked FTS | 74c | 160$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.4 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…b7c1backed FTS | 32c | 131.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Synapse | 44c | 128.37$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.08 | 911 | 38.2%348 W · 563 L | -45.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…f280backed FTS | 11c | 127.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked FTS | 46c | 119.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 342 | 54.4%186 W · 156 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0286…f61dbacked Team Synapse | 54c | 119.24$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.63 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b8…abf5backed FTS | 80c | 118.75$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Team Synapse | 40c | 113.89$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.12 | 545 | 38.5%210 W · 335 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Team Synapse | 56c | 110$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 263 | 55.1%145 W · 118 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3231…6e75backed FTS | 48c | 108.52$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Team Synapse | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 466 | 50.2%234 W · 232 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…ad4cbacked Team Synapse | 30c | 100.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.33 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5f…2081backed FTS | 32c | 98.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbca…4841backed FTS | 32c | 98.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Synapse | 46c | 95.64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 833 | 45.1%376 W · 457 L | -28.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Team Synapse | 74c | 91$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 657 | 47.8%314 W · 343 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Team Synapse | 44c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -17.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d59…8b19backed Team Synapse | 75c | 87.24$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3038backed Team Synapse | 62c | 85.18$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 238 | 62.2%148 W · 90 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed Team Synapse | 50c | 85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked FTS | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 169 | 58%98 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…6174backed Team Synapse | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 309 | 60.2%186 W · 123 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Team Synapse | 52c | 74.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed FTS | 32c | 73.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -14.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…1bfebacked FTS | 19c | 63.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Synapse | 36c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 1,126 | 36.2%408 W · 718 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Synapse | 51c | 51.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 1,914 | 47.6%911 W · 1,003 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…19f9backed Team Synapse | 47c | 51.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked FTS | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 319 | 50.8%162 W · 157 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Team Synapse | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Team Synapse | 55c | 47.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 538 | 51.3%276 W · 262 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Team Synapse | 54c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908b…247cbacked Team Synapse | 58c | 34.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5832…ac2cbacked FTS | 48c | 31.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Team Synapse | 50c | 27.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Synapse | 52c | 23.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 925 | 53.6%496 W · 429 L | +51.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5abe…d360backed FTS | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…69d5backed Team Synapse | 56c | 18.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed FTS | 55c | 18.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Synapse vs FTS - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Synapse vs FTS (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group ATeam Synapse won
- Dota 2: Team Synapse vs FTS - Game 2 WinnerTeam Synapse won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.