Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2192e15fac93b91be8424091c36f610328709cc295d79d77f91515ca714683ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,279
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Yes | 2c | 1,400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 73 | 5.5%4 W · 69 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +161.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3d…1e5abacked Yes | 2c | 1,380$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 52 | 3.8%2 W · 50 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Yes | 11c | 1,077$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.65 | 263 | 27.8%73 W · 190 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe82a…db8dbacked Yes | 3c | 932.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…55e4backed No | 70c | 828.19$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.26 | 48 | 87.5%42 W · 6 L | +12.0wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +49%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 41c | 768.82$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.12 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed Yes | 2c | 600$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 63 | 1.6%1 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 7c | 535$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 25c | 522.21$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.87 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 600 | 4.2%25 W · 575 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 48c | 287.86$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.54 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…c80bbacked Yes | 47c | 247.76$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.66 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 45c | 220.54$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.16 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…dae0backed No | 58c | 207.41$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.89 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd16f…2badbacked Yes | 27c | 169.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2347…5adfbacked Yes | 30c | 166.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 119 | 38.7%46 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 41c | 164.19$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.38 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked No | 59c | 162.54$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 299 | 53.8%161 W · 138 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 31c | 158.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 56c | 157.89$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.11 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 39c | 110.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 41c | 105.47$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 252 | 39.7%100 W · 152 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 20c | 104$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 38c | 103.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…1a73backed No | 58c | 101.53$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 186 | 68.8%128 W · 58 L | +27.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…76f5backed Yes | 60c | 98.73$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb9…90f7backed Yes | 43c | 94.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb999…b00dbacked Yes | 30c | 93.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 49c | 89.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 44c | 81.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c7…6dc4backed Yes | 47c | 80.94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 39c | 74.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…825abacked No | 59c | 71.85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 625 | 55.2%345 W · 280 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 16c | 70.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…f884backed Yes | 30c | 69.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d78…5678backed Yes | 43c | 65.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27fb…3f5ebacked Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6400…331abacked No | 78c | 64.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 424 | 69.1%293 W · 131 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 32c | 62.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 24c | 61.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbc…1d9ebacked No | 79c | 60.7$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 115 | 69.6%80 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 47c | 60.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df9…effbbacked No | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 57c | 55.78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 75c | 52.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…e07dbacked Yes | 36c | 51.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…8794backed No | 62c | 49.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 462 | 32.9%152 W · 310 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…b482backed Yes | 45c | 49.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 425 | 44%187 W · 238 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…17c0backed Yes | 44c | 48.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 40c | 48.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 62c | 48.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 70c | 46.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 548 | 67.3%369 W · 179 L | +26.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 63c | 45.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 74c | 42.51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 335 | 67.5%226 W · 109 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd39…43a8backed Yes | 29c | 41.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 123 | 17.9%22 W · 101 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…9a5cbacked Yes | 26c | 40.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f57…c3acbacked Yes | 47c | 40.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c31…68a1backed No | 62c | 40.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 56c | 39.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe4…d1c0backed Yes | 48c | 39.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…d7c5backed No | 59c | 39.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 241 | 49.8%120 W · 121 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87cc…7971backed Yes | 38c | 38.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 41c | 37.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 55c | 37.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec4d…087ebacked Yes | 41c | 35.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1de…aadfbacked No | 61c | 34.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 63 | 76.2%48 W · 15 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f01…4c3abacked No | 65c | 33.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 161 | 59%95 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…619abacked No | 70c | 33.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 274 | 64.6%177 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb211…10b3backed No | 78c | 31.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 63c | 31.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65e3…0ed9backed Yes | 34c | 30.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ce…7f30backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 160 | 65.6%105 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4c…ebeabacked Yes | 49c | 29.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1efd…2cbdbacked Yes | 37c | 28.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…9f22backed Yes | 45c | 27.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…44f0backed Yes | 50c | 26.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c9…d2b8backed Yes | 53c | 25.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 535 | 47.5%254 W · 281 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…b108backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 344 | 57%196 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf136…f66abacked Yes | 42c | 24.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3401backed Yes | 66c | 21.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 274 | 63.9%175 W · 99 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 78c | 20.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5608…c0dbbacked No | 56c | 20.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 191 | 60.7%116 W · 75 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…0b64backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 78c | 19.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d9…5136backed Yes | 52c | 19.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf5…20f8backed No | 60c | 18.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…a2f8backed No | 56c | 18.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 118 | 72.9%86 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a06…ff99backed No | 61c | 17.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 58c | 17.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 466 | 26%121 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed No | 67c | 16.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 562 | 65.5%368 W · 194 L | +35.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3380…da7ebacked No | 60c | 16.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf6…c61bbacked No | 69c | 14.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 608 | 51.2%311 W · 297 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 13?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or higher on April 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.