Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: No Sweat Blossom vs FUSION X (BO5) - VCT Game Changers Latin America North Main Event Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x238cc9971cf35d80f826bafdac3444a4e87576eaf6ac01c74eb30af32e7dbb49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUSION Xof No Sweat Blossom, FUSION X
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe7dd…bcd0backed No Sweat Blossom | 55c | 955.43$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No Sweat Blossom | 15c | 815.29$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.68 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf1…3018backed FUSION X | 49c | 640$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No Sweat Blossom | 16c | 616.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.44 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No Sweat Blossom | 14c | 499$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.95 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked No Sweat Blossom | 43c | 429.57$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.91 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc34…0953backed No Sweat Blossom | 38c | 419.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x628f…b212backed FUSION X | 67c | 416.21$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.13 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked FUSION X | 41c | 387$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.7 | 281 | 43.4%122 W · 159 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…afd7backed No Sweat Blossom | 53c | 377.92$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked No Sweat Blossom | 29c | 377.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…d632backed No Sweat Blossom | 67c | 317.07$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…2f56backed FUSION X | 30c | 303.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +237.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9b…2013backed FUSION X | 41c | 250.8$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.79 | 187 | 35.3%66 W · 121 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked No Sweat Blossom | 60c | 222$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…5df6backed FUSION X | 65c | 217.45$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.51 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No Sweat Blossom | 54c | 215.61$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.43 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No Sweat Blossom | 10c | 205.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No Sweat Blossom | 12c | 197.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed FUSION X | 46c | 181.05$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.08 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked No Sweat Blossom | 63c | 160.4$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 258 | 43%111 W · 147 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked FUSION X | 65c | 153.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed FUSION X | 41c | 152.74$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.76 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed FUSION X | 44c | 130.92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.72 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed FUSION X | 37c | 127.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.18 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed FUSION X | 45c | 119.7$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.56 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No Sweat Blossom | 46c | 103.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No Sweat Blossom | 34c | 103.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No Sweat Blossom | 37c | 98.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6aa…ccbcbacked FUSION X | 33c | 97.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…61c3backed No Sweat Blossom | 57c | 87.28$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.46 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed No Sweat Blossom | 52c | 85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No Sweat Blossom | 16c | 84.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed FUSION X | 36c | 82.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…523dbacked FUSION X | 19c | 81.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 19cpaid | +440.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf61…f9e2backed FUSION X | 39c | 77.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked No Sweat Blossom | 35c | 76.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked FUSION X | 30c | 71.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd520…0c5fbacked FUSION X | 80c | 68.79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No Sweat Blossom | 23c | 68.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…f0b2backed FUSION X | 66c | 67.15$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No Sweat Blossom | 34c | 63.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…dd13backed FUSION X | 80c | 62.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…aa04backed No Sweat Blossom | 46c | 60.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No Sweat Blossom | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…c4f0backed FUSION X | 47c | 57.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…a662backed No Sweat Blossom | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No Sweat Blossom | 26c | 54.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked No Sweat Blossom | 33c | 52.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked FUSION X | 44c | 52.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 321 | 57.6%185 W · 136 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6581…bff4backed No Sweat Blossom | 62c | 48.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x493e…d38bbacked No Sweat Blossom | 53c | 47.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32c6…b25bbacked No Sweat Blossom | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed FUSION X | 40c | 45.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aac…791fbacked No Sweat Blossom | 45c | 44.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf08e…1256backed FUSION X | 63c | 44.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No Sweat Blossom | 33c | 40.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba29…cb83backed FUSION X | 57c | 38.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked No Sweat Blossom | 52c | 38.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccc…a5d5backed FUSION X | 74c | 38.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed FUSION X | 68c | 36.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…2faebacked FUSION X | 68c | 36.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ce…3f1dbacked FUSION X | 48c | 31.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb400…78e2backed FUSION X | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…949dbacked No Sweat Blossom | 58c | 29.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4b…7a19backed No Sweat Blossom | 52c | 29.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…1799backed No Sweat Blossom | 52c | 28.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed No Sweat Blossom | 41c | 27.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked FUSION X | 38c | 25.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…f74cbacked No Sweat Blossom | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06ad…6b2fbacked No Sweat Blossom | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FUSION X | 48c | 22.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…cee8backed No Sweat Blossom | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.