MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23d41e767eec3aa1d88bae98d173cf6db58c7a4925822ce0c9be8ea8b87da611
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Guardians, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $150,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Giants | 57c | 31,709$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,000 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Guardians | 42c | 24,490$10,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,224.87 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Guardians | 43c | 23,739$10,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,530.96 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Giants | 58c | 23,150$13,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,426.76 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Giants | 57c | 16,025$9,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,134.12 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Guardians | 43c | 13,367$5,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,619.33 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Guardians | 73c | 13,114$9,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,486.71 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Giants | 15c | 4,110$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.8 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Guardians | 43c | 3,437$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.15 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Guardians | 43c | 3,400$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Giants | 11c | 3,119$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.51 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Giants | 36c | 2,742$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.51 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Giants | 58c | 2,566$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.37 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 49c | 2,240$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.51 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Giants | 15c | 2,168$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Giants | 56c | 2,093$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.74 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Giants | 49c | 2,055$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked Giants | 59c | 2,010$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.62 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Guardians | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Guardians | 44c | 1,820$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.19 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Guardians | 43c | 1,700$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Guardians | 41c | 1,660$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.4 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Giants | 21c | 1,438$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 52c | 1,215$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.71 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Guardians | 52c | 1,201$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.54 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Guardians | 48c | 1,181$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.93 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Giants | 25c | 1,139$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.89 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Guardians | 45c | 1,030$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.5 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Guardians | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Guardians | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Guardians | 54c | 932$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.38 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Giants | 12c | 900$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Guardians | 45c | 881.26$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.26 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb528…75d2backed Giants | 60c | 840$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…d582backed Guardians | 44c | 800$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Giants | 55c | 799.91$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.95 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Guardians | 53c | 587$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.08 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Giants | 55c | 572.99$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.15 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants | 57c | 556.55$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.93 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Giants | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa066…515abacked Giants | 55c | 470$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204a…cb82backed Guardians | 45c | 470$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…f625backed Giants | 22c | 464.23$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.37 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Guardians | 43c | 458.48$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.33 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Giants | 55c | 454.95$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.22 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…3303backed Giants | 56c | 451.75$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Giants | 55c | 447$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.85 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Guardians | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Guardians | 41c | 284$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.56 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf094…6fd5backed Giants | 57c | 280.7$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Guardians | 42c | 279$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.82 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Guardians | 44c | 277.22$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.24 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Giants | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Guardians | 55c | 252.41$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.58 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Guardians | 43c | 232.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.8 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Guardians | 44c | 227.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.61 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Giants | 10c | 215.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Giants | 9c | 204.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090f…f5aabacked Giants | 57c | 200.84$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.54 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Guardians | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Giants | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Giants | 33c | 195.91$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Giants | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Giants | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Giants | 26c | 172.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Giants | 26c | 162.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf29a…adb7backed Guardians | 45c | 144.36$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.4 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Giants | 22c | 140$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Guardians | 45c | 133.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf082…ae27backed Guardians | 45c | 127.53$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.14 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Guardians | 55c | 125.13$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.7 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7d…7158backed Giants | 56c | 124.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Giants | 17c | 122.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Guardians | 43c | 122$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.54 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Guardians | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Giants | 39c | 118.65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f85…da50backed Giants | 56c | 110.21$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.72 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -9.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc028…9349backed Giants | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Guardians | 54c | 109.26$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0f…43e2backed Giants | 14c | 100.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Giants | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Giants | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Guardians | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f91abacked Giants | 56c | 97.96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.86 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x758c…6730backed Guardians | 45c | 97.18$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.45 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Guardians | 45c | 96$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Guardians | 46c | 91.74$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.54 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Guardians | 44c | 91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Giants | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb89a…fe5fbacked Guardians | 45c | 89.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…f6fcbacked Giants | 56c | 87.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -6.6wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Giants | 16c | 84.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Guardians | 45c | 84.22$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.32 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5241…f648backed Giants | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Giants | 55c | 83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Guardians | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3133…5b73backed Guardians | 45c | 72.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.09 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Guardians | 43c | 72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…b560backed Giants | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51a1…1467backed Giants | 19c | 65.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.