Weather · resolved market

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 17?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2459679fcf2c09b9f8f707b5e41ce3f8711c76b8b27d4da886c5ed39cfcd3d2c

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $19,282
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $18,467

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,282 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Weather
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x57ee…8112backed Yes	2c	1,216$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.21	1,727	18%311 W · 1,416 L	+74.3wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb977…b5e2backed Yes	40c	934.88$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.41	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-2.6wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes	23c	711.72$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.49	7,148	9.3%666 W · 6,482 L	-1,105.8wins	-0.15per pick	25cpaid	-75.9%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x1294…cd72backed Yes	2c	683.56$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.73	72	66.7%48 W · 24 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa912…297fbacked No	61c	555.7$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.5	636	56.1%357 W · 279 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf229…d5f7backed No	65c	398.03$259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.31	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes	33c	330.58$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.81	769	24.3%187 W · 582 L	-16.3wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	46c	310.04$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.56	5,832	36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L	+211.1wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	26c	305.41$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.79	2,119	36.1%764 W · 1,355 L	-12.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51a5…a647backed Yes	40c	289.15$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.39	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x862f…7e34backed Yes	32c	285.92$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.58	64	40.6%26 W · 38 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f21…b376backed Yes	32c	229.08$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.33	17,355	19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L	+396.7wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a19…073dbacked Yes	48c	197.25$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.85	164	52.4%86 W · 78 L	+8.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef98…7926backed Yes	35c	178.05$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.32	423	15.4%65 W · 358 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes	45c	160.47$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.79	864	20.1%174 W · 690 L	+14.2wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f34…2f50backed No	65c	157.01$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.55	4,120	60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes	36c	149.99$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.5	701	33.5%235 W · 466 L	+13.4wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes	25c	142.88$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.34	12,498	19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L	-2,667.3wins	-0.21per pick	41cpaid	-66.8%equal weight	26-0.21 edge/pick
0xaad7…cf8fbacked No	68c	142.49$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.9	861	73.2%630 W · 231 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	72cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeee0…f00ebacked Yes	33c	142.45$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.62	171	40.4%69 W · 102 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x044f…d1f1backed No	49c	140.25$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.8	8,162	49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L	+269.7wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed No	38c	133.15$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.22	263	27.8%73 W · 190 L	+14.9wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1838…29b4backed Yes	20c	126.7$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.53	963	13.7%132 W · 831 L	+33.9wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+35.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa4…fc3dbacked No	66c	119.03$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.89	277	56%155 W · 122 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa566…111ebacked Yes	50c	114.15$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.59	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5652…2aa5backed Yes	43c	102.32$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.7	161	57.1%92 W · 69 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xcf79…92b6backed Yes	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-3.6wins	-0.16per pick	35cpaid	-38%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb9d…6804backed Yes	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-3.4wins	-0.16per pick	35cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b40…e9f9backed Yes	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-3.6wins	-0.19per pick	35cpaid	-57.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf565…cb93backed Yes	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bae…a1c9backed Yes	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-3.0wins	-0.14per pick	33cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf821…f546backed Yes	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-2.3wins	-0.11per pick	33cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd4c…0b31backed Yes	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-3.2wins	-0.19per pick	31cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x42d1…8769backed Yes	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	31cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x113f…120ebacked Yes	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-2.7wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x63fd…ae6ebacked Yes	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-3.1wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-31%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x45b3…eed5backed Yes	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-3.2wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf8b7…4834backed Yes	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-5.1wins	-0.27per pick	38cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3886…b492backed Yes	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	561	18.4%103 W · 458 L	-6.6wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Yes	12c	99.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	93	30.1%28 W · 65 L	+6.3wins	+0.07per pick	23cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cc0…1912backed Yes	19c	99.99$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	161	16.1%26 W · 135 L	-7.1wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bbd…b40ebacked Yes	41c	96.08$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.11	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ad…22d6backed Yes	44c	91.51$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.09	61	44.3%27 W · 34 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc34f…7d2ebacked No	74c	84.99$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.18	12,173	46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L	-42.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes	37c	83.78$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.35	1,840	37%681 W · 1,159 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	34c	83.14$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.93	7,481	37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L	+97.4wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c48…6b72backed Yes	48c	80.54$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.31	452	38.5%174 W · 278 L	-14.1wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf51b…ca1bbacked No	31c	80$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.2	1,274	34%433 W · 841 L	+46.9wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ec8…99d2backed No	64c	78.12$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.12	833	60.7%506 W · 327 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd228…ea6fbacked Yes	35c	76.5$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.67	229	34.1%78 W · 151 L	-8.4wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf419…5f89backed Yes	32c	76.16$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.37	949	19.7%187 W · 762 L	+11.1wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37a2…4965backed Yes	28c	73.18$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.59	52	28.8%15 W · 37 L	+4.2wins	+0.08per pick	21cpaid	+43.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc25e…5d00backed Yes	35c	72.92$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.43	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf31…454abacked No	65c	72.38$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.33	191	52.9%101 W · 90 L	-7.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a91…983fbacked Yes	34c	71.92$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.45	139	42.4%59 W · 80 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes	32c	69.9$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.37	3,939	35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L	+35.4wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ba…1349backed No	71c	69.48$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.15	271	67.2%182 W · 89 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb1a8…7e66backed Yes	54c	67.47$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.21	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe752…2200backed Yes	44c	63.06$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.8	1,204	25.3%305 W · 899 L	+18.2wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77db…af03backed No	53c	61.48$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.89	41	78%32 W · 9 L	+6.0wins	+0.15per pick	63cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x28bf…ae14backed Yes	50c	59.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.2	99	43.4%43 W · 56 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0cf…ae32backed No	42c	59.78$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.67	80	61.3%49 W · 31 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b40…ced4backed Yes	39c	59.08$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.96	958	52.5%503 W · 455 L	+103.2wins	+0.11per pick	42cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf136…f66abacked Yes	35c	58.91$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.62	52	36.5%19 W · 33 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes	36c	57.99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.87	2,674	30%803 W · 1,871 L	+5.4wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x017c…00c3backed Yes	33c	55.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.48	250	42.4%106 W · 144 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc11e…75c8backed Yes	22c	54.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	86	23.3%20 W · 66 L	+4.2wins	+0.05per pick	18cpaid	+47.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5ef…3e88backed Yes	35c	54.36$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.03	52	28.8%15 W · 37 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb964…927fbacked Yes	29c	52.54$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.14	183	27.3%50 W · 133 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42f8…de50backed Yes	33c	52.35$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.02	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc3…b884backed Yes	36c	52.08$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.89	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf17…5c20backed Yes	28c	51.1$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.49	1,787	25.7%460 W · 1,327 L	+132.5wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	+50.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c81…1b64backed Yes	33c	50.48$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.84	61	44.3%27 W · 34 L	+4.8wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1361…f12bbacked Yes	43c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.5	1,924	33.8%651 W · 1,273 L	+29.2wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f94…0b53backed Yes	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2986…b3a9backed No	30c	50$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	2,995	31.4%940 W · 2,055 L	+41.6wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf2e…c770backed Yes	35c	49.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	395	41.3%163 W · 232 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1735…0319backed Yes	36c	48.68$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.47	1,480	15.6%231 W · 1,249 L	+26.5wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c4b…4fe3backed Yes	41c	47.04$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.21	83	51.8%43 W · 40 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6536…0cf6backed Yes	36c	46.8$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.85	43	20.9%9 W · 34 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb185…48c1backed Yes	24c	46.18$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.9	197	20.8%41 W · 156 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90b7…148cbacked Yes	33c	45$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.85	93	31.2%29 W · 64 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf899…0759backed Yes	36c	43.22$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.56	267	38.6%103 W · 164 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a05…6782backed Yes	28c	40$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.19per pick	42cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9881…2c0dbacked No	71c	39.86$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.56	16	87.5%14 W · 2 L	+2.6wins	+0.17per pick	71cpaid	+39.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc96c…b868backed No	55c	39.07$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.6	291	37.8%110 W · 181 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a8d…50f9backed No	69c	38.04$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.77	9,799	44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L	+256.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc293…675dbacked Yes	35c	37.4$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.09	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce07…5c3cbacked Yes	34c	36.14$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.14	310	62.6%194 W · 116 L	+38.4wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x4be0…c37dbacked No	64c	31.81$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.45	190	58.9%112 W · 78 L	-8.2wins	-0.04per pick	63cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ecf…05fbbacked Yes	40c	28.42$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.28	130	42.3%55 W · 75 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb00…5461backed Yes	37c	27.06$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.01	196	48.5%95 W · 101 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ad…2dbbbacked Yes	42c	26.6$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.16	106	45.3%48 W · 58 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x671a…2f1ebacked No	73c	25.46$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.95	175	70.3%123 W · 52 L	+9.9wins	+0.06per pick	65cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2be…ff33backed No	79c	25.31$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.32	1,203	48.9%588 W · 615 L	-24.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e75…305ebacked No	67c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.6	119	65.5%78 W · 41 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	68cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcce…65afbacked No	53c	19.98$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.44	277	71.5%198 W · 79 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	70cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea43…13babacked Yes	58c	18.87$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.01	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa045…282abacked No	76c	18.07$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.4	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51f2…8623backed No	63c	17.11$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.33	34	64.7%22 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	66cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 17?this page
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 17?No won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 17?Yes won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 17?No won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 17?No won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 17?No won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or higher on April 17?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 17?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event