TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Dayton Flyers vs. George Mason Patriots

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dayton Flyersof Dayton Flyers, George Mason Patriots
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,894
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,429

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,894 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa38a…821dbacked Dayton Flyers74c6,954$5,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,841.6649345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed George Mason Patriots42c6,137$2,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,572.9434943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Dayton Flyers57c4,526$2,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,967.025,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Dayton Flyers42c2,939$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,704.589645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed George Mason Patriots58c2,633$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,530.0437947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Dayton Flyers55c2,600$1,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.471,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked George Mason Patriots17c2,103$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.184,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked George Mason Patriots58c1,825$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.21,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d30…fad8backed George Mason Patriots58c1,736$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.81330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed George Mason Patriots57c1,458$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.4618846.8%88 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed George Mason Patriots48c1,414$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.782,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Dayton Flyers43c1,179$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.3912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked George Mason Patriots39c1,117$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.281,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed George Mason Patriots38c999.99$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.152,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Dayton Flyers70c715.62$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.622075%15 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked George Mason Patriots58c700$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40637142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Dayton Flyers44c586.54$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.281528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed George Mason Patriots58c574.27$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.461,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed George Mason Patriots43c570.28$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.83,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Dayton Flyers44c566.29$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.124738.3%18 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked George Mason Patriots56c532.58$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Dayton Flyers45c444$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.278052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed George Mason Patriots46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008643%37 W · 49 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Dayton Flyers41c418.24$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.0699045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked George Mason Patriots25c416.67$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0425337.5%95 W · 158 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed George Mason Patriots59c384$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.231,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Dayton Flyers57c378.67$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.341,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Dayton Flyers46c326.09$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.0993447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked George Mason Patriots19c309.09$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.787047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Dayton Flyers41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.562,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Dayton Flyers53c296.09$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4477142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Dayton Flyers43c280$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.650745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Dayton Flyers43c272.09$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.0925049.2%123 W · 127 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Dayton Flyers55c272$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.472248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Dayton Flyers44c268.55$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.7143053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed George Mason Patriots20c263.42$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.683,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked George Mason Patriots58c241.38$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14045351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed George Mason Patriots38c237.76$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.392,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Dayton Flyers42c220.51$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.035,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed Dayton Flyers46c217.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.869338.7%36 W · 57 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc8c…d58cbacked Dayton Flyers46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.398353%44 W · 39 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf926…fb21backed Dayton Flyers42c217.1$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.928333.7%28 W · 55 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-21.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed George Mason Patriots58c215.52$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12530853.2%164 W · 144 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Dayton Flyers54c215.45$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.111,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Dayton Flyers43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11468254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Dayton Flyers42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11624737.7%93 W · 154 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed George Mason Patriots18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed George Mason Patriots56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11214553.1%77 W · 68 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Dayton Flyers43c199.98$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.991,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Dayton Flyers42c174$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.9274152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked George Mason Patriots7c172.79$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.921,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Dayton Flyers52c169.81$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.493247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Dayton Flyers42c156.05$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.892,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Dayton Flyers80c150$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3052353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Dayton Flyers44c135.63$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.261,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c72…78edbacked George Mason Patriots56c134.42$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed George Mason Patriots51c125$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3399848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Dayton Flyers42c120$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.631647.8%151 W · 165 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Dayton Flyers42c118.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9444549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb10b…ec5ebacked Dayton Flyers47c116.71$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.065646.4%26 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed George Mason Patriots29c110.07$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.142,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb66…c8dfbacked Dayton Flyers34c108$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+190.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…2e74backed Dayton Flyers42c105.8$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3219860.1%119 W · 79 L+15.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x10b9…0a9bbacked George Mason Patriots52c98.38$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.167350.7%37 W · 36 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Dayton Flyers60c94.19$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.961,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed George Mason Patriots59c92.73$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4612748.8%62 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Dayton Flyers42c92.12$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2237835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked George Mason Patriots57c91.7$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1781453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed George Mason Patriots57c81.59$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8830649%150 W · 156 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed George Mason Patriots27c80$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.61,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x782c…2445backed Dayton Flyers43c75$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.753655.6%20 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x89fd…da5dbacked George Mason Patriots39c71.03$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.013339.4%13 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed George Mason Patriots55c70.82$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.959264.1%59 W · 33 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed George Mason Patriots43c68.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.870936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c33…ff7cbacked Dayton Flyers45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.671952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Dayton Flyers42c66$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0120248%97 W · 105 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Dayton Flyers63c63.55$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.319153.8%49 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed George Mason Patriots58c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.864658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed George Mason Patriots59c59.56$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3523363.9%149 W · 84 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed George Mason Patriots57c54$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7840849.8%203 W · 205 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Dayton Flyers44c51.89$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0616140.4%65 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc82a…cc74backed Dayton Flyers69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.52254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Dayton Flyers43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.51850%9 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed George Mason Patriots58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910755.1%59 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Dayton Flyers70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158460.7%51 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf71…9f1cbacked Dayton Flyers46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Dayton Flyers44c49.92$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9585248.8%416 W · 436 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Dayton Flyers43c45$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6561244.9%275 W · 337 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked George Mason Patriots55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2039050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Dayton Flyers43c34.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8816746.1%77 W · 90 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed Dayton Flyers58c32.32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4727055.6%150 W · 120 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Dayton Flyers43c31.7$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0710353.4%55 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Dayton Flyers42c31.34$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0292246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Dayton Flyers43c30.3$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.271,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Dayton Flyers43c30.3$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.279035.6%32 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Dayton Flyers43c30.3$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2716546.7%77 W · 88 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Dayton Flyers43c30.23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.231,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…06c5backed George Mason Patriots55c27.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8742751.8%221 W · 206 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc02…b036backed Dayton Flyers45c23.11$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.71250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2031…5ee7backed George Mason Patriots57c21.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.