Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bf3c33521927702861227e9ea2e83e39e3a58f898f1ee78dbc8fb6ae32227dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 10c | 2,785$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.15 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 11c | 2,229$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.05 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae0…7483backed Yes | 48c | 1,954$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.86 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb901…9fc4backed No | 79c | 1,876$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.77 | 118 | 83.9%99 W · 19 L | +34.3wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 77+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4e…14cfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,003$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 138 | 9.4%13 W · 125 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 2cpaid | +357.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 53c | 629.78$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 6c | 416$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed No | 46c | 413.74$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.1 | 304 | 42.8%130 W · 174 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d8…56bbbacked Yes | 75c | 409.82$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.11 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 40c | 338.8$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.03 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 9c | 337.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 67c | 296.93$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 44c | 290.83$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.88 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked No | 53c | 279$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.13 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 58c | 270.5$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 44c | 247.55$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.03 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 44c | 234.18$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.13 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 56c | 231.22$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.68 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 52c | 230.4$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.19 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 45c | 228.14$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.4 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 45c | 226$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.83 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 45c | 224$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.53 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 41c | 222.18$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad9…2647backed Yes | 40c | 214.6$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.64 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa6…f2fbbacked Yes | 42c | 179.38$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.47 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 49c | 179.17$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.91 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 54c | 162.98$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 50c | 154$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 48c | 148$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.72 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 71c | 146.43$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed No | 50c | 146.29$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…2efebacked Yes | 46c | 139.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 404 | 61.4%248 W · 156 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…0ec1backed No | 53c | 130$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 75c | 126.83$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 50c | 126$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 56c | 125.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4c…a2c1backed No | 80c | 124.84$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 43c | 115.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x262f…2198backed No | 70c | 113.72$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 54c | 105.93$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 53c | 103.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 55c | 103.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…814dbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea1a…bf1abacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…11f4backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda56…4176backed Yes | 48c | 99.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 51c | 95.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…d600backed Yes | 37c | 95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 49c | 89.42$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…6060backed No | 55c | 87$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 43c | 74.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 319 | 36.1%115 W · 204 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 43c | 68.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 51c | 63.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 43c | 58.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 49c | 55.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf440…7ab4backed No | 62c | 54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 50c | 53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 65c | 51.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…c5fcbacked No | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 425 | 47.5%202 W · 223 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c78…80a0backed Yes | 42c | 49.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…9907backed No | 65c | 49.85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed Yes | 52c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked Yes | 43c | 47.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c6…3eb7backed Yes | 74c | 47.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba96…95a7backed Yes | 43c | 46.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 240 | 29.2%70 W · 170 L | -15.8wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 46c | 46.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…4eb6backed Yes | 54c | 45.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 219 | 64.8%142 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 40c | 44.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 461 | 48.8%225 W · 236 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed No | 53c | 43.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 270 | 56.7%153 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked Yes | 41c | 43.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 35c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc756…0ec3backed Yes | 50c | 42.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 132 | 66.7%88 W · 44 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 33c | 40.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 51c | 38.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…4f88backed Yes | 49c | 37.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 388 | 60.1%233 W · 155 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 57c | 37.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 53c | 35.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…1686backed No | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 641 | 67.6%433 W · 208 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 57c | 34.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…2313backed Yes | 36c | 34.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 262 | 56.5%148 W · 114 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 46c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…a1a5backed No | 61c | 32.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…5d76backed Yes | 78c | 32.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked No | 56c | 31.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 465 | 49.9%232 W · 233 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb692…7c83backed Yes | 48c | 30.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 117 | 70.9%83 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…57c3backed Yes | 39c | 30.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -16.9wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb5…d2c8backed No | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f8…eec6backed Yes | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5824…7307backed No | 68c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 36c | 29.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 71c | 29.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab3…79b1backed Yes | 72c | 29.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 24°C or below on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 27?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on June 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.