Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36b010883b10b0bcc934ace31cb86072a5419c9300bd8c9696bc0f38ad3975ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,245
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,245 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x92e3…ab49backed No | 65c | 2,517$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.98 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 29c | 866.18$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.71 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d8…56bbbacked No | 65c | 541.06$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.84 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed Yes | 28c | 315.39$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.17 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 13c | 312.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…ac6ebacked Yes | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed No | 80c | 300$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 28c | 284.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.63 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 68c | 226$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.4 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 79c | 214.53$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37df…f8b9backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 24c | 193.69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.25 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 44c | 159.8$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.8 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 47c | 157$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.36 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 38c | 155.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.24 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 37c | 155.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.61 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 37c | 155.27$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.83 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 23c | 155.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 39c | 154.04$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.64 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb901…9fc4backed Yes | 43c | 145.17$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.07 | 118 | 83.9%99 W · 19 L | +34.3wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 77+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 51c | 142.42$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.26 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 47c | 141$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.31 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 64c | 140$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 56c | 136.1$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.08 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 18c | 126.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.98 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 63c | 119.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.59 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 42c | 118.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 71c | 114.33$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.28 | 1,088 | 55.5%604 W · 484 L | -27.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 26c | 113.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8746…f522backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 12c | 101.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.51 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda56…4176backed Yes | 36c | 100.32$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea1a…bf1abacked Yes | 36c | 100.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.08 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…814dbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.57 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 23c | 96.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.44 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…2efebacked No | 69c | 96.48$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 404 | 61.4%248 W · 156 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 47c | 93.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 55c | 90.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…87d3backed Yes | 33c | 86.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.9 | 303 | 32.3%98 W · 205 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 24c | 84.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.83 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 17c | 84.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 49c | 80.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…695abacked Yes | 49c | 73.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 120 | 72.5%87 W · 33 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed No | 51c | 73.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 54c | 71.45$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…0319backed Yes | 23c | 71.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.89 | 1,480 | 15.6%231 W · 1,249 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 70c | 63.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 71c | 62.06$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 52c | 61.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…fde7backed Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…7712backed Yes | 22c | 60$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…3f67backed No | 72c | 57.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f9…8d24backed Yes | 23c | 56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 477 | 38.8%185 W · 292 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…11f4backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…9d10backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…ca44backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 25c | 49.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…7cfcbacked Yes | 29c | 45.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 543 | 35%190 W · 353 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba96…95a7backed Yes | 49c | 44.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 240 | 29.2%70 W · 170 L | -15.8wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…8c7ebacked Yes | 30c | 43.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 63c | 42.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 27c | 42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked Yes | 26c | 40.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 58c | 37.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 51c | 36.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…4f88backed No | 51c | 36.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 388 | 60.1%233 W · 155 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…42f8backed No | 73c | 36.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 69c | 35.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 47c | 33.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 60c | 33.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…8159backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 587 | 32.9%193 W · 394 L | +34.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…ad5abacked No | 56c | 26.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 502 | 61%306 W · 196 L | -17.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…154ebacked Yes | 53c | 24.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 70c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 51c | 20.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 74c | 20.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed No | 72c | 19.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 270 | 56.7%153 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 63c | 19.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 53c | 19.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 56c | 19.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…e484backed No | 74c | 15.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 24°C or below on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on June 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.