MLB · resolved market

Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cbab90de8f5110a7856e34fd430cdd61049d91fd3b353ff0438d891f26d805c

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cincinnati Redsof Houston Astros, Cincinnati Reds
Resolved: May 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $212,064
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $212,844

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,064 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x16bb…8492backed Cincinnati Reds	51c	60,000$30,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,400	865	48.7%421 W · 444 L	-8.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Houston Astros	49c	58,822$28,823 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,822.61	210	40%84 W · 126 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Cincinnati Reds	54c	37,038$20,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,037.96	379	53.6%203 W · 176 L	+18.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Cincinnati Reds	51c	21,711$11,079 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,632.21	2,293	48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Houston Astros	46c	21,307$9,801 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,801.07	74	41.9%31 W · 43 L	-5.5wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Cincinnati Reds	53c	18,974$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,973.91	243	44.4%108 W · 135 L	-11.1wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros	48c	15,246$7,318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,318.08	1,660	50.1%832 W · 828 L	-22.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbba9…f183backed Houston Astros	49c	13,274$6,444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,443.65	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Houston Astros	47c	10,000$4,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,700	604	51%308 W · 296 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Houston Astros	48c	5,747$2,741 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,740.68	1,515	51.1%774 W · 741 L	+7.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Cincinnati Reds	51c	5,133$2,602 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,531.32	1,215	47.6%578 W · 637 L	-19.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Houston Astros	48c	5,096$2,446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,446.27	188	60.1%113 W · 75 L	+14.6wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+237.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Houston Astros	44c	4,853$2,126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,125.88	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Cincinnati Reds	52c	3,628$1,872 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,756.26	2,369	47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros	27c	3,009$819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$819.04	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Houston Astros	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	1,063	48.2%512 W · 551 L	-11.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Cincinnati Reds	50c	2,809$1,405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,404.52	779	51.1%398 W · 381 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros	42c	2,574$1,093 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,092.96	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Houston Astros	29c	2,356$684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$684.25	1,381	48.1%664 W · 717 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds	52c	2,235$1,162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,072.78	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa720…4e2dbacked Houston Astros	49c	2,182$1,069 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,069.18	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Cincinnati Reds	51c	2,002$1,031 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$971	149	38.3%57 W · 92 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f82…659ebacked Cincinnati Reds	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+90.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Houston Astros	46c	2,000$920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$920	540	48.3%261 W · 279 L	-12.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Cincinnati Reds	53c	1,608$846 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$761.69	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds	54c	1,563$844 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$719.23	1,499	58.9%883 W · 616 L	+75.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Houston Astros	47c	1,500$705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$705	444	51.1%227 W · 217 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ad…45f9backed Houston Astros	46c	1,480$681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680.8	117	41.9%49 W · 68 L	-8.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-14%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Houston Astros	49c	1,341$658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$658.27	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ea5…9d40backed Houston Astros	47c	1,142$537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$536.66	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Houston Astros	10c	1,094$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.26	1,522	34.7%528 W · 994 L	+27.1wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed Houston Astros	48c	1,042$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	93	54.8%51 W · 42 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Houston Astros	48c	1,005$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482.4	737	48.4%357 W · 380 L	-7.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc278…a116backed Houston Astros	15c	976.83$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.81	841	40.2%338 W · 503 L	-3.0wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Houston Astros	43c	974.69$422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$421.95	2,147	50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L	+27.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Houston Astros	37c	922.57$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.5	1,456	42.7%622 W · 834 L	-39.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Cincinnati Reds	50c	838.24$419 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$419.12	1,402	48.8%684 W · 718 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds	53c	755.69$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$355.64	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Houston Astros	47c	667.82$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.88	92	62%57 W · 35 L	+8.9wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros	48c	591.8$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.15	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Houston Astros	48c	552$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.64	1,769	51.6%912 W · 857 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Houston Astros	49c	500$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.08	192	48.4%93 W · 99 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Houston Astros	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	940	34.3%322 W · 618 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked Houston Astros	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	42	9.5%4 W · 38 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	16cpaid	-80.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x87af…c990backed Houston Astros	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	327	42.2%138 W · 189 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Cincinnati Reds	74c	426.89$316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.99	1,075	58.3%627 W · 448 L	-21.3wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc313…e128backed Houston Astros	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	379	41.2%156 W · 223 L	+10.1wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc070…203abacked Houston Astros	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	119	41.2%49 W · 70 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Cincinnati Reds	60c	353$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.58	786	49.1%386 W · 400 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Cincinnati Reds	56c	300$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132	591	50.3%297 W · 294 L	+9.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Houston Astros	48c	270.89$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.36	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Houston Astros	33c	252.97$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.23	791	47.9%379 W · 412 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Cincinnati Reds	74c	250.45$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.33	1,777	58.4%1,037 W · 740 L	+91.8wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Houston Astros	8c	248$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.66	718	50.1%360 W · 358 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Houston Astros	50c	245.75$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.88	294	46.6%137 W · 157 L	-9.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Cincinnati Reds	53c	240$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.8	228	49.1%112 W · 116 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Houston Astros	34c	234.15$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.59	6,303	48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L	+181.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Houston Astros	46c	200$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	3,291	46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L	+20.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Houston Astros	48c	200$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	2,261	45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L	+57.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Cincinnati Reds	54c	199.99$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.99	354	46%163 W · 191 L	-9.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Houston Astros	43c	199.17$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.09	825	51.6%426 W · 399 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Cincinnati Reds	52c	198.1$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.09	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Cincinnati Reds	54c	166.67$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.67	732	43.4%318 W · 414 L	-14.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Houston Astros	47c	160$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.2	1,402	43.1%604 W · 798 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Houston Astros	45c	150$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.5	688	46.8%322 W · 366 L	+9.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffae…adaebacked Houston Astros	49c	138.78$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	589	43.1%254 W · 335 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Cincinnati Reds	54c	125$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.11	1,001	48.3%483 W · 518 L	-15.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Cincinnati Reds	53c	120.62$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.16	2,947	51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L	-34.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Cincinnati Reds	49c	119.49$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.43	1,106	48.7%539 W · 567 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Houston Astros	47c	106.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	569	46.9%267 W · 302 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Cincinnati Reds	54c	106.07$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.66	529	55.6%294 W · 235 L	+13.1wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Houston Astros	47c	100.57$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.27	2,203	50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L	+29.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x660a…3d22backed Houston Astros	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-5.6wins	-0.31per pick	48cpaid	-66.8%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xeb51…733cbacked Houston Astros	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	261	48.3%126 W · 135 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked Cincinnati Reds	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	478	49%234 W · 244 L	+14.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Cincinnati Reds	52c	94.47$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.95	295	53.2%157 W · 138 L	+7.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Cincinnati Reds	54c	92.59$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.59	246	46.7%115 W · 131 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Cincinnati Reds	54c	91.72$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.19	1,137	42.6%484 W · 653 L	+10.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Houston Astros	46c	87.59$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.29	503	37.2%187 W · 316 L	-42.3wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Houston Astros	47c	85$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.95	541	46.8%253 W · 288 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x635b…1013backed Cincinnati Reds	51c	83$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.67	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	-4.0wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Houston Astros	48c	82.48$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	625	54.2%339 W · 286 L	+18.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef65…f32fbacked Houston Astros	48c	81.25$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	880	45.1%397 W · 483 L	-10.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x043f…ca25backed Houston Astros	50c	80$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	244	45.1%110 W · 134 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked Houston Astros	47c	80$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.6	1,310	43.6%571 W · 739 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda74…2dd7backed Houston Astros	47c	80$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.6	1,277	43.1%550 W · 727 L	+6.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Houston Astros	14c	77.74$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	1,113	49%545 W · 568 L	+22.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Houston Astros	48c	77.56$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.48	997	44.1%440 W · 557 L	-38.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32de…ce27backed Houston Astros	47c	70$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.9	636	44.7%284 W · 352 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Houston Astros	45c	69.99$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.49	446	43.3%193 W · 253 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Cincinnati Reds	53c	68.78$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.33	2,021	39.5%798 W · 1,223 L	-25.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Houston Astros	45c	65.51$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.48	78	46.2%36 W · 42 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Houston Astros	46c	63.84$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.44	1,435	50%717 W · 718 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a63…ceabbacked Cincinnati Reds	52c	63.25$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.36	510	49.2%251 W · 259 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3a…3203backed Cincinnati Reds	52c	63.17$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.32	88	47.7%42 W · 46 L	-4.9wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58d5…8898backed Houston Astros	47c	60$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.2	1,205	43%518 W · 687 L	+4.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Houston Astros	46c	60$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.6	2,045	53.8%1,100 W · 945 L	+32.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x563c…0dbfbacked Cincinnati Reds	54c	59.8$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.51	114	49.1%56 W · 58 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Houston Astros	50c	57.4$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.7	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f5…bb11backed Houston Astros	47c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	559	53.1%297 W · 262 L	+10.5wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 5.5Under won
Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Under won
Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Under won
Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Under won
Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati RedsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event