Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on July 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cfd5a5f0a0cc050e32e6b42a7183ec4e78c9a434c815303528b1e002ba7002a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fd1…d8f4backed Yes | 65c | 1,809$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.17 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 23c | 859.35$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.29 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938d…8674backed Yes | 48c | 546.66$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.62 | 467 | 33.4%156 W · 311 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 77c | 389.69$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.59 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 57c | 342.59$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.77 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 30c | 336.95$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.48 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked Yes | 50c | 306.78$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.55 | 635 | 38.4%244 W · 391 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 49c | 305.57$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.74 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 52c | 274.18$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.33 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86d3…da78backed Yes | 51c | 235.09$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.11 | 265 | 33.2%88 W · 177 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 35c | 229.71$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.71 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 69c | 227.72$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.51 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 27c | 212.85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.23 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 75c | 211.96$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.38 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed Yes | 38c | 211.38$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.04 | 1,174 | 54.9%644 W · 530 L | +49.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 23c | 152.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x361c…99d4backed No | 76c | 121.25$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.96 | 119 | 65.5%78 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 64c | 121.16$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.15 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 57c | 118.93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 65c | 109.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.49 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 605 | 50.7%307 W · 298 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 58c | 99.06$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed Yes | 63c | 99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.03 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 39c | 98.49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…a3a5backed Yes | 46c | 98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 65c | 96.59$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.89 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 68c | 94.38$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.54 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…2475backed No | 54c | 94.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 70c | 92.2$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b5…5aa7backed Yes | 35c | 90.35$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.13 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 38c | 90$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 45c | 88.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 77c | 87.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1c4fbacked Yes | 40c | 87.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.39 | 815 | 58.5%477 W · 338 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 28c | 86.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.38 | 605 | 23.3%141 W · 464 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 62c | 86$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 58c | 84.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb55a…5230backed No | 62c | 77.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5d…1e18backed Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 60c | 74.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 44c | 74.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbe…b95ebacked Yes | 67c | 67.86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 419 | 66.6%279 W · 140 L | +36.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 44c | 66.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…2ca4backed Yes | 58c | 60.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 208 | 33.2%69 W · 139 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed Yes | 25c | 60.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e2…06f4backed No | 60c | 57.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b6…0ab8backed Yes | 28c | 57.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 31c | 52.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 710 | 57.9%411 W · 299 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f10…563bbacked Yes | 48c | 52.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 57c | 49.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9502…ba22backed Yes | 75c | 49.63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes | 54c | 48.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 430 | 50.2%216 W · 214 L | +21.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 62c | 48.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 49c | 46.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 25c | 46.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1e…ccacbacked Yes | 48c | 41.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 42 | 83.3%35 W · 7 L | +11.6wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…b97ebacked Yes | 28c | 36.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 280 | 35.4%99 W · 181 L | -69.3wins | -0.25per pick | 60cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 25-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0xe229…ea0fbacked Yes | 42c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 53c | 34.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 38c | 33.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 59c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…dadbbacked No | 52c | 29.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 72c | 28.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…f218backed Yes | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff5…14babacked No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 75.2%115 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…bf4abacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e97…7773backed No | 76c | 26.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e3…9a51backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 108 | 30.6%33 W · 75 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 64c | 24.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 80c | 20.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 809 | 62.1%502 W · 307 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bee…50ccbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 78c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed No | 75c | 16.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced6…2dc1backed No | 76c | 15.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 280 | 68.6%192 W · 88 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…3f79backed No | 74c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 493 | 59%291 W · 202 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on July 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on July 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on July 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on July 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on July 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on July 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.