Tennis · resolved market
ITF Ajaccio: Hugo Grenier vs Tristan Berard
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30930ae498435bb900b997ef0e285211e8925dbd7f9ba0729c62bee6f50b3dc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hugo Grenierof Hugo Grenier, Tristan Berard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Hugo Grenier | 36c | 12,423$4,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,977.84 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Tristan Berard | 54c | 9,748$5,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,273.35 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tristan Berard | 61c | 5,780$3,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,525.86 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc92…649dbacked Hugo Grenier | 38c | 5,263$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,263.42 | 95 | 18.9%18 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Hugo Grenier | 55c | 4,662$2,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.35 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Tristan Berard | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 234 | 62.8%147 W · 87 L | +16.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Hugo Grenier | 44c | 1,500$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.19 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Tristan Berard | 62c | 1,279$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.08 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Tristan Berard | 41c | 1,133$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.63 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Tristan Berard | 61c | 813.06$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 378 | 49.2%186 W · 192 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hugo Grenier | 54c | 809.64$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.51 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Tristan Berard | 26c | 785.23$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.55 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hugo Grenier | 52c | 721.55$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.79 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…055bbacked Tristan Berard | 14c | 658.52$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Hugo Grenier | 59c | 448$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.82 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Hugo Grenier | 62c | 417.82$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.78 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Tristan Berard | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Tristan Berard | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Tristan Berard | 38c | 297.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.41 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Tristan Berard | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 962 | 55.8%537 W · 425 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Tristan Berard | 25c | 245.45$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Tristan Berard | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Tristan Berard | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,009 | 38.3%386 W · 623 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Tristan Berard | 61c | 227$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.47 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Tristan Berard | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Tristan Berard | 61c | 192.48$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.41 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Tristan Berard | 61c | 172.21$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.1 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Tristan Berard | 11c | 170.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 1,000 | 49.8%498 W · 502 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Tristan Berard | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Tristan Berard | 18c | 161.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Tristan Berard | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,087 | 54.1%1,130 W · 957 L | +64.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hugo Grenier | 62c | 135.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Tristan Berard | 18c | 127.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 956 | 55.9%534 W · 422 L | +19.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Tristan Berard | 18c | 124.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Tristan Berard | 18c | 122.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 897 | 54.6%490 W · 407 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Tristan Berard | 61c | 116$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…6e2dbacked Tristan Berard | 62c | 104.77$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Hugo Grenier | 33c | 104.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.71 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Hugo Grenier | 54c | 102$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Tristan Berard | 61c | 92.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.41 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…d585backed Hugo Grenier | 64c | 83.8$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Tristan Berard | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Tristan Berard | 25c | 78.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Hugo Grenier | 53c | 77.82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Tristan Berard | 51c | 77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Tristan Berard | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Tristan Berard | 32c | 73.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa004…a04fbacked Hugo Grenier | 67c | 61.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Hugo Grenier | 63c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad0…cdc2backed Tristan Berard | 35c | 54.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Tristan Berard | 66c | 53.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Hugo Grenier | 49c | 53.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Hugo Grenier | 78c | 52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 2,135 | 56%1,195 W · 940 L | +41.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Tristan Berard | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed Tristan Berard | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Tristan Berard | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Tristan Berard | 61c | 48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Tristan Berard | 35c | 47.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tristan Berard | 61c | 45.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Tristan Berard | 61c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Tristan Berard | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Tristan Berard | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Tristan Berard | 35c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Tristan Berard | 34c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Tristan Berard | 34c | 30.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 444 | 29.7%132 W · 312 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43f…3b20backed Tristan Berard | 33c | 30.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Tristan Berard | 39c | 30.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 904 | 35.7%323 W · 581 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Tristan Berard | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 256 | 59%151 W · 105 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Tristan Berard | 70c | 20.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 991 | 48.6%482 W · 509 L | +43.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Hugo Grenier | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Hugo Grenier | 73c | 19.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.