NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Pistons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31821d3deadfedd43772c70ac0d735c8a0890cbc7d132b57d28515d7f92ef24d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Timberwolves, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $171,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $180,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 300 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2317…c891backed Timberwolves | 39c | 38,178$14,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,860.57 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked Timberwolves | 29c | 24,562$7,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,207.44 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Pistons | 67c | 17,224$11,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,689.26 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Pistons | 57c | 7,959$4,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,427.84 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pistons | 59c | 7,880$4,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,201.19 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Pistons | 29c | 5,307$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,759.01 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Timberwolves | 70c | 5,231$3,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,661.83 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Timberwolves | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0304…dcc7backed Pistons | 29c | 5,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,539.94 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Pistons | 70c | 4,695$3,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.79 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Timberwolves | 71c | 4,412$3,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,114.83 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pistons | 64c | 4,307$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.26 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Timberwolves | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.98 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Pistons | 28c | 2,830$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,028.98 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Pistons | 30c | 2,215$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.48 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b26…8640backed Timberwolves | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb09…dd9cbacked Timberwolves | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8e…e481backed Pistons | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Pistons | 69c | 1,971$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.92 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…8733backed Timberwolves | 71c | 1,958$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.24 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Pistons | 28c | 1,800$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aee…4b3fbacked Pistons | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Pistons | 64c | 1,612$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.4 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Pistons | 29c | 1,537$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.21 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0a…8a0dbacked Pistons | 31c | 1,516$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +394.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Timberwolves | 74c | 1,357$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Pistons | 63c | 1,351$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfae…30a3backed Pistons | 30c | 1,232$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Pistons | 29c | 1,158$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.63 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc923…5a59backed Timberwolves | 71c | 1,141$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pistons | 42c | 1,035$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.27 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Timberwolves | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pistons | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…8ca0backed Timberwolves | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba02…e42bbacked Pistons | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.9wins | +0.31per pick | 38cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…ef89backed Pistons | 27c | 999.94$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.96 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1233…9adabacked Pistons | 29c | 974.58$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.95 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Timberwolves | 79c | 869.27$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce7…5042backed Timberwolves | 71c | 844.93$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…fec8backed Pistons | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.33 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pistons | 29c | 799.99$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.99 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Timberwolves | 72c | 760.98$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.9 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Pistons | 32c | 757.44$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.43 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Timberwolves | 37c | 750$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Timberwolves | 70c | 750$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…6938backed Timberwolves | 71c | 734.19$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Timberwolves | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Timberwolves | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaafb…3027backed Timberwolves | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Timberwolves | 60c | 699.99$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa794…cfcebacked Timberwolves | 72c | 691.15$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Pistons | 30c | 669.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.34 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Pistons | 67c | 650.31$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.04 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pistons | 28c | 642.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.11 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Pistons | 28c | 642.97$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.09 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Pistons | 28c | 599.98$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.99 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91d…81dfbacked Timberwolves | 70c | 567.86$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…d698backed Timberwolves | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Pistons | 39c | 517.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.22 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Pistons | 28c | 515$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.92 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61de…e4f7backed Timberwolves | 71c | 512.52$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Timberwolves | 72c | 500.07$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.55 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Timberwolves | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Pistons | 28c | 500$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…70b7backed Pistons | 30c | 498.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…676fbacked Pistons | 21c | 480$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.2 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7128…5d81backed Timberwolves | 72c | 451.71$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb6…0561backed Timberwolves | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d54…2386backed Timberwolves | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Pistons | 74c | 400.25$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.28 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Pistons | 28c | 380.62$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.66 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a07…7768backed Pistons | 28c | 360$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.2 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Timberwolves | 63c | 349.99$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.5 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Timberwolves | 72c | 347.22$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0076…96babacked Pistons | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Pistons | 31c | 342.48$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.88 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Pistons | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…9780backed Pistons | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Pistons | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…b468backed Timberwolves | 70c | 330$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c0d4backed Timberwolves | 71c | 315.11$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.73 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pistons | 35c | 311.63$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.16 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9167…9dc4backed Pistons | 29c | 310.31$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Timberwolves | 67c | 308.59$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.84 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Timberwolves | 71c | 304.49$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.19 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Pistons | 30c | 301$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.7 | 235 | 39.1%92 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Timberwolves | 73c | 300$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Pistons | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0b…f974backed Timberwolves | 70c | 300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Timberwolves | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Timberwolves | 71c | 282.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5301…7c92backed Timberwolves | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf03d…a9eebacked Timberwolves | 71c | 280.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…4157backed Timberwolves | 72c | 277.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 72cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Timberwolves | 8c | 249$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Timberwolves | 47c | 236.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa500…31febacked Timberwolves | 79c | 228.9$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18e8…1669backed Timberwolves | 71c | 225.35$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f12…2a77backed Timberwolves | 71c | 225.35$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 70cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb657…16d0backed Timberwolves | 71c | 225.35$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.