College Football · resolved market
Akron vs. Buffalo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37f0e6a2912a88c8409e4942b4cc4d8cb1d43dd5103a0310fef6bea73034de39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Akronof Akron, Buffalo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,686,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,643,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,686,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Buffalo | 80c | 1,423,664$1,136,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136,009.79 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Akron | 19c | 385,243$74,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310,960.11 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Akron | 20c | 250,000$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200,000 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Akron | 21c | 112,415$24,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,341.12 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Akron | 21c | 100,000$21,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,700 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Akron | 21c | 75,000$15,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,550 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Akron | 21c | 65,661$13,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,857.33 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Akron | 20c | 64,244$12,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,395.2 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Akron | 21c | 63,023$13,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,772.42 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Akron | 20c | 50,124$10,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,099.2 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Akron | 21c | 45,600$9,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,023.98 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Akron | 21c | 40,480$8,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,847.2 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Akron | 21c | 36,371$7,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,732.79 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Akron | 21c | 32,925$7,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,901.17 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Akron | 21c | 32,489$6,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,666.07 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Akron | 22c | 26,666$5,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,799.48 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Akron | 22c | 25,955$5,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,244.89 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Akron | 21c | 23,080$4,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,272.5 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Akron | 21c | 13,739$2,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,851.05 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Akron | 21c | 13,346$2,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,543.5 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Akron | 21c | 11,531$2,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,147.4 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked Akron | 21c | 8,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,320 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Akron | 60c | 7,478$4,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,955.85 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Akron | 21c | 7,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,530 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Akron | 30c | 6,389$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,468.57 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Akron | 21c | 6,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,740 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Akron | 21c | 5,155$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,072.79 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Akron | 21c | 5,032$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,975 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Akron | 21c | 4,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,555 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Akron | 22c | 4,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,510 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Akron | 29c | 4,300$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,042 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Akron | 21c | 4,158$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,284.58 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Buffalo | 74c | 3,700$2,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,737.99 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Akron | 21c | 3,251$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580.45 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Akron | 21c | 3,050$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,398.99 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Akron | 50c | 3,026$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.17 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Buffalo | 1c | 2,840$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Akron | 21c | 2,790$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Akron | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.95 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Akron | 22c | 2,273$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.73 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Akron | 24c | 2,250$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.73 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Akron | 21c | 2,141$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.84 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Akron | 21c | 1,700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Akron | 23c | 1,200$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Akron | 38c | 1,009$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.69 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Akron | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Akron | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Akron | 23c | 900$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.5 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Akron | 21c | 557.71$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Akron | 21c | 500$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Akron | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Akron | 22c | 402$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.74 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Akron | 23c | 300$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.5 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Buffalo | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Akron | 77c | 300$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…3f81backed Buffalo | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Akron | 22c | 245$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.1 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Akron | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Akron | 22c | 230$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.4 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed Akron | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Akron | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…3617backed Akron | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Buffalo | 7c | 199.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30d…0f56backed Buffalo | 8c | 191.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Akron | 19c | 190$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.9 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.36per pick | 42cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Akron | 57c | 189.85$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.51 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Akron | 22c | 150.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.67 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d7…c27ebacked Buffalo | 67c | 149$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Akron | 21c | 141.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.46 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cd…26a5backed Buffalo | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Buffalo | 61c | 137.7$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…be99backed Buffalo | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Buffalo | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Akron | 21c | 123.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.81 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Akron | 21c | 110$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…3e65backed Akron | 23c | 109.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.68 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Buffalo | 13c | 104.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Buffalo | 77c | 103.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Buffalo | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Akron | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…ad4ebacked Akron | 25c | 99.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +296.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Akron | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…2937backed Akron | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Akron | 22c | 87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.86 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…a883backed Akron | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…09a3backed Akron | 25c | 81.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Akron | 58c | 71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Buffalo | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Akron | 21c | 62.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.76 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb05e…4fcebacked Akron | 39c | 54.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Buffalo | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e757backed Akron | 27c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…ff19backed Akron | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa0…0359backed Buffalo | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…e5a0backed Buffalo | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ec…90bdbacked Buffalo | 76c | 27.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Buffalo | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…5213backed Buffalo | 76c | 25.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Buffalo | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde5f…8902backed Buffalo | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Akron vs. Buffalothis page
- Akron vs. Buffalo: O/U 47.5Under won
- O/U 48.5Under won
- Spread: Buffalo (-10.5)Akron won
- Spread: Buffalo (-9.5)Akron won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.