Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bffd715a1ef26d4ffb4d885843a40487ce39f017960a77a72a22d13127fe25c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec86…60e4backed No | 54c | 417.75$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.13 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed No | 48c | 306.12$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.93 | 517 | 62.3%322 W · 195 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 47c | 227.75$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.8 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 46c | 187.95$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.47 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 48c | 170.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.43 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 46c | 159.51$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.79 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 45c | 151.74$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.73 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 47c | 147.36$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.6 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 43c | 145.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.42 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed No | 54c | 143.12$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.3 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 38c | 136.57$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 28c | 123.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 49c | 122.27$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.92 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 31c | 120.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 11c | 118.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 49c | 116.09$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed No | 47c | 115.09$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 45c | 99.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x515c…7587backed No | 46c | 94.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 41c | 88.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 43c | 88.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 59c | 87.61$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 25c | 76.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba3…737cbacked No | 39c | 75.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…33c9backed No | 51c | 74.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 769 | 36.3%279 W · 490 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d0…9617backed No | 54c | 74.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3a…3df7backed Yes | 47c | 73.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 452 | 53.3%241 W · 211 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 69c | 72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 61c | 69.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 44c | 65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed No | 48c | 63.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c4…9c93backed No | 39c | 63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 46c | 62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae33…7804backed No | 39c | 61.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 59.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 50c | 57.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2299…493bbacked No | 37c | 56.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 61c | 53.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 479 | 35.3%169 W · 310 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…74f9backed No | 55c | 51.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x970d…022ebacked No | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94ae…d801backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58a…2a4fbacked No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…0793backed No | 55c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 436 | 63.5%277 W · 159 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f26…93bcbacked No | 53c | 49.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 60c | 49.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 51c | 45.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead3…b125backed No | 53c | 45.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 49c | 44.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0408…3d68backed Yes | 55c | 43.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +20.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked No | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 195 | 65.6%128 W · 67 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed No | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…0cc4backed No | 51c | 38.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 52c | 37.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 421 | 48%202 W · 219 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb782…aa2dbacked Yes | 59c | 37.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked No | 51c | 36.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 62c | 36.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…0319backed No | 37c | 34.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 1,480 | 15.6%231 W · 1,249 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e2…96a8backed Yes | 76c | 32.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked Yes | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 577 | 47%271 W · 306 L | +40.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 62c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 667 | 35.4%236 W · 431 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 78c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…f5c2backed No | 38c | 28.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 48c | 27.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e7…c727backed Yes | 60c | 26.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed No | 55c | 25.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 239 | 58.2%139 W · 100 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked No | 48c | 24.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5579…2db1backed Yes | 45c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed Yes | 45c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe775…01d2backed Yes | 63c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa20b…390bbacked No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafbe…072ebacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c6…d465backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…9be0backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c1…a400backed No | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63b0…11f9backed No | 55c | 18.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…2fc2backed Yes | 63c | 18.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…085cbacked Yes | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 616 | 76.3%470 W · 146 L | +92.4wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2c…5890backed Yes | 63c | 17.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f61…840abacked Yes | 72c | 15.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 375 | 70.7%265 W · 110 L | +62.7wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 20?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.