Lol · resolved market
LoL: EXILE esports vs Bohemian Guardians (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ec78529e1a73dec6f9cc6ba0a06f894bf7ede323e415f00f35fd0bf0158115a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- EXILE esportsof EXILE esports, Bohemian Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb29a…ae79backed Bohemian Guardians | 0c | 26,454$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Bohemian Guardians | 6c | 9,152$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.18 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf8…2dc8backed Bohemian Guardians | 59c | 2,831$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.13 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…d4aebacked Bohemian Guardians | 33c | 1,388$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.34 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x444b…173cbacked EXILE esports | 67c | 1,361$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Bohemian Guardians | 43c | 1,154$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.5 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…f557backed EXILE esports | 67c | 1,069$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed EXILE esports | 43c | 1,036$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.04 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb711…b96dbacked EXILE esports | 68c | 909.2$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed EXILE esports | 67c | 800$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 391 | 62.7%245 W · 146 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b68…4785backed EXILE esports | 20c | 757.58$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.58 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed Bohemian Guardians | 35c | 599.99$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe57f…b6cebacked EXILE esports | 62c | 599.71$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9f…0c25backed EXILE esports | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bohemian Guardians | 77c | 463.61$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.35 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…47eabacked Bohemian Guardians | 35c | 430.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked EXILE esports | 65c | 361.02$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 448 | 46.2%207 W · 241 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Bohemian Guardians | 31c | 346.53$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.47 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Bohemian Guardians | 56c | 230.82$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.17 | 354 | 35.3%125 W · 229 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…e42bbacked EXILE esports | 60c | 216.98$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.21 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.4wins | +0.36per pick | 55cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed EXILE esports | 58c | 198.29$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.21 | 181 | 65.7%119 W · 62 L | +23.7wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Bohemian Guardians | 34c | 167.32$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Bohemian Guardians | 50c | 165.04$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.72 | 438 | 37.9%166 W · 272 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked EXILE esports | 64c | 150.14$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Bohemian Guardians | 47c | 127.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.54 | 857 | 42.7%366 W · 491 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed Bohemian Guardians | 21c | 124.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 186 | 38.7%72 W · 114 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Bohemian Guardians | 48c | 118.39$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…46f8backed Bohemian Guardians | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 273 | 40.7%111 W · 162 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Bohemian Guardians | 34c | 83.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked EXILE esports | 42c | 79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.98 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Bohemian Guardians | 41c | 78.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Bohemian Guardians | 39c | 77.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 117 | 35%41 W · 76 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed EXILE esports | 49c | 73.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Bohemian Guardians | 15c | 73.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 498 | 41.6%207 W · 291 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked EXILE esports | 68c | 69.66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…00eabacked Bohemian Guardians | 45c | 67.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Bohemian Guardians | 36c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3202…6a46backed EXILE esports | 70c | 55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Bohemian Guardians | 28c | 51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 1,057 | 46.1%487 W · 570 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d14…36fdbacked Bohemian Guardians | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | +13.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Bohemian Guardians | 30c | 48.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x21e0…645bbacked EXILE esports | 55c | 45.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 134 | 59.7%80 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked EXILE esports | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 1,063 | 47.2%502 W · 561 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Bohemian Guardians | 64c | 37.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Bohemian Guardians | 33c | 35.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 283 | 29.7%84 W · 199 L | -32.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked EXILE esports | 71c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 858 | 49.5%425 W · 433 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed EXILE esports | 48c | 31.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Bohemian Guardians | 35c | 28.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…c297backed EXILE esports | 72c | 25.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed EXILE esports | 66c | 20.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 501 | 45.7%229 W · 272 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed EXILE esports | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: EXILE esports vs Bohemian Guardians (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Seasonthis page
- LoL: EXILE esports vs Bohemian Guardians - Game 1 WinnerEXILE esports won
- LoL: EXILE esports vs Bohemian Guardians - Game 2 WinnerEXILE esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.