TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Vancouver: Dane Sweeny vs Duncan Chan

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dane Sweenyof Dane Sweeny, Duncan Chan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,404
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,461

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,404 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Dane Sweeny76c5,021$3,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.638,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Duncan Chan39c4,268$1,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,678.764,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Dane Sweeny59c4,000$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,629.9925144.6%112 W · 139 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid0%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Duncan Chan25c3,912$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.343,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Duncan Chan29c2,027$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.2811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Dane Sweeny62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76053043%228 W · 302 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Dane Sweeny61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78037738.2%144 W · 233 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Duncan Chan24c1,855$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.448,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Duncan Chan41c1,639$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.173,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Dane Sweeny68c1,608$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.894,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Duncan Chan38c1,447$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.991,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Duncan Chan38c1,063$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.911,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc196…2e6bbacked Dane Sweeny62c967.74$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.7412339%48 W · 75 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe839…0a9dbacked Duncan Chan35c859$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.6539157.8%226 W · 165 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Duncan Chan38c831.17$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.843,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d26…ca0ebacked Dane Sweeny62c631.97$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.1519251%98 W · 94 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Dane Sweeny62c616.03$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.042,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Duncan Chan40c541.42$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.845,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3f43backed Duncan Chan35c462.86$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Dane Sweeny52c434$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.322,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Dane Sweeny61c406.56$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.5648842%205 W · 283 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Duncan Chan14c344.28$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.052,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45e4…3c69backed Dane Sweeny66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0337044.3%164 W · 206 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Duncan Chan39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027949.1%137 W · 142 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Dane Sweeny67c252$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.231,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d74…4944backed Dane Sweeny60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10016469.5%114 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Dane Sweeny62c242.01$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.021,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Duncan Chan31c241.12$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.422,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Duncan Chan42c240.05$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.961,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f0c…7047backed Duncan Chan43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025633.6%86 W · 170 L-17.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x634a…dddfbacked Dane Sweeny65c228.21$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2130647.7%146 W · 160 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Dane Sweeny61c215.75$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.444,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x323e…1ddabacked Duncan Chan39c214.51$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9963537.6%239 W · 396 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Duncan Chan32c199.38$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.861,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Duncan Chan39c191.71$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.773,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4abd…5a5cbacked Duncan Chan35c151$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8539159.1%231 W · 160 L+28.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Duncan Chan38c143$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.347,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3171…b991backed Dane Sweeny61c131.97$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9733551.9%174 W · 161 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Dane Sweeny59c129.91$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.261,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95f1…6e6fbacked Dane Sweeny77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8711338.9%44 W · 69 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Duncan Chan29c122.15$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.11,71053.7%918 W · 792 L+30.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb3e…b9c5backed Duncan Chan35c110.81$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8535558.6%208 W · 147 L+19.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked Duncan Chan28c108.68$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6451942.6%221 W · 298 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Duncan Chan29c104.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.454,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d8b…3b0ebacked Duncan Chan41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415455.6%30 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Dane Sweeny61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e65…9929backed Dane Sweeny62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382040%8 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-30.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Duncan Chan37c96$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5243144.8%193 W · 238 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe77…8fe4backed Duncan Chan36c89.09$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.079531.6%30 W · 65 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Dane Sweeny70c85.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8439648%190 W · 206 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…331cbacked Dane Sweeny61c84$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7634864.1%223 W · 125 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa004…a04fbacked Dane Sweeny60c81.87$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7515359.5%91 W · 62 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Dane Sweeny73c81.44$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9950268.3%343 W · 159 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Dane Sweeny62c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.468430%205 W · 479 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed Duncan Chan42c79.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8776355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Dane Sweeny80c76.46$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.522,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Duncan Chan18c71.29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.531,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Duncan Chan40c70.09$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.04944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Duncan Chan38c66.39$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.231,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Duncan Chan31c64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.845,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9755…ab85backed Duncan Chan35c53.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5135851.7%185 W · 173 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Duncan Chan32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Dane Sweeny56c49.14$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.861,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Duncan Chan42c47.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013435.8%48 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Duncan Chan42c47.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2041440.3%167 W · 247 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfffa…17c5backed Duncan Chan25c43.81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1136545.2%165 W · 200 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x110f…a7cdbacked Dane Sweeny71c42.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.395261.5%32 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e37…5bdbbacked Dane Sweeny62c41.5$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7719852.5%104 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0428…b167backed Dane Sweeny62c40.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.321656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b56…a082backed Dane Sweeny63c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.842563.3%269 W · 156 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2035…dc1cbacked Duncan Chan40c37.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.037851.3%40 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x883e…b1f2backed Duncan Chan40c36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf3b…880abacked Duncan Chan44c30.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.42272.7%16 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Duncan Chan36c30.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.996,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Duncan Chan42c29.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.527139.1%106 W · 165 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Duncan Chan38c26.53$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0855347.6%263 W · 290 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d34…d7b5backed Dane Sweeny59c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3552552.4%275 W · 250 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e79…22e3backed Dane Sweeny62c24.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1911756.4%66 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33fc…dc88backed Dane Sweeny66c22.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.736045%27 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3785…f577backed Dane Sweeny64c20.6$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.475248.1%25 W · 27 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Dane Sweeny79c17.23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.661,10256.5%623 W · 479 L+52.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.