Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43f1a80b575b54221335c0877b3ad59944fbcc010490955c2ce92f018f411b1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 40c | 1,209$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.37 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e3…e4e2backed Yes | 40c | 555.65$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.17 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 38c | 299.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.82 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed Yes | 39c | 295$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.05 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 60c | 233.76$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1c4fbacked Yes | 39c | 232.88$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.58 | 815 | 58.5%477 W · 338 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 35c | 224.54$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.19 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 40c | 164$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.32 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 60c | 156$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 62c | 145.03$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.45 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 60c | 124.68$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 60c | 122.82$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 35c | 102.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 62c | 102.23$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed No | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 439 | 59.5%261 W · 178 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce9…520bbacked Yes | 39c | 91.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 39c | 91.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 1,048 | 38.1%399 W · 649 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 37c | 90$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 65c | 88.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 62c | 87.88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 38c | 87.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 60c | 82.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 60c | 81.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 63c | 78.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked Yes | 24c | 76.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…dc90backed Yes | 36c | 76.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…4c65backed No | 62c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 278 | 52.9%147 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 60c | 74.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 61c | 72.34$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c1…b127backed Yes | 18c | 71.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 170 | 20%34 W · 136 L | -21.0wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x304b…a619backed Yes | 40c | 70.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 63c | 69.69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…41ccbacked Yes | 20c | 69.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 270 | 51.1%138 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…6bcbbacked Yes | 39c | 69.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 40c | 66.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 591 | 21.5%127 W · 464 L | -30.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…4f51backed No | 62c | 64.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…7a0cbacked Yes | 37c | 61.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 189 | 45.5%86 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 36c | 58.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…2a65backed Yes | 40c | 57.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -15.2wins | -0.27per pick | 51cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 29-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 60c | 56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…d568backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b6…0ab8backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d41…f085backed Yes | 38c | 49.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 73c | 49.28$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 70c | 47.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…8d41backed No | 60c | 42.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 423 | 66.4%281 W · 142 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Yes | 40c | 41.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24cf…7e5cbacked Yes | 33c | 41.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb39d…7a6dbacked Yes | 38c | 41.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…12e9backed Yes | 32c | 40.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48c0…53d5backed Yes | 41c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…04e1backed Yes | 39c | 38.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 371 | 44.2%164 W · 207 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 60c | 38.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2660…afa2backed No | 65c | 38.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 60c | 36.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 68c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…7455backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 818 | 55%450 W · 368 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb3…e68cbacked Yes | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 60c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 40c | 27.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0428…7d12backed Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 301 | 36.9%111 W · 190 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ee23backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 60c | 24.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…782cbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1,876 | 63%1,181 W · 695 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 260 | 67.3%175 W · 85 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 397 | 68.8%273 W · 124 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…59d3backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 159 | 61.6%98 W · 61 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…82ecbacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 297 | 69.4%206 W · 91 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea31…a889backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…aa30backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb814…dd31backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…9e1dbacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc743…4cb7backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31a…8817backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54c…2c69backed No | 66c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 255 | 60.8%155 W · 100 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 60c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on July 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 27?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.