Us Politics · resolved market
Trump positive favorability on Day 100?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47d9616adbbaef3d1887d479392ef80b6ab565d756d1d366ac8d8e2de287cac8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $327,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $250,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $327,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x040f…807ebacked Yes | 10c | 70,593$7,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,059.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b60…f259backed Yes | 9c | 14,480$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 8c | 6,700$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.8 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa416…025ebacked Yes | 23c | 5,200$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.5 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 77c | 5,009$3,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.43 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 7c | 3,500$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.25 | 98 | 10.2%10 W · 88 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 9c | 3,482$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.02 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…dfb6backed No | 72c | 2,751$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.23 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 28c | 2,303$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.94 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed Yes | 28c | 2,200$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed Yes | 30c | 2,188$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.49 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 76c | 1,942$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.78 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 43c | 1,877$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.2 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x269a…0837backed No | 68c | 1,464$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.41 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0347…e0e5backed Yes | 11c | 1,455$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.62 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed Yes | 18c | 1,166$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.82 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 2c | 1,111$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…8c07backed Yes | 20c | 1,059$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.76 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0965…f1cfbacked Yes | 8c | 1,050$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…678cbacked No | 69c | 897.22$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…f5c6backed Yes | 37c | 817.7$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.91 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -73%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…2866backed Yes | 38c | 799.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 34c | 710.1$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.43 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…1aa4backed No | 66c | 709.09$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.43 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…d918backed Yes | 22c | 700$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.29 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed Yes | 27c | 700$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f75…351dbacked Yes | 2c | 691.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…fa67backed No | 67c | 636.54$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.39 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 33c | 577.11$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.45 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed No | 62c | 576$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.2 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…4db3backed Yes | 18c | 550$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Yes | 33c | 535.93$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.66 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d46…bfb6backed Yes | 22c | 500$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbac8…9a92backed Yes | 24c | 470.37$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b11…8625backed Yes | 17c | 450$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…37b6backed No | 67c | 447.82$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +84%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa405…fe9dbacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed No | 62c | 355$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.9 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba6a…91d1backed Yes | 26c | 344.2$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…4b41backed No | 70c | 338.62$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x003d…7a58backed No | 56c | 337.27$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 43c | 250$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 5c | 231.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 215 | 4.2%9 W · 206 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 21c | 223.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked No | 66c | 213.06$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.44 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7b…5824backed Yes | 34c | 213.06$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked No | 75c | 209$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.06 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffdb…411dbacked No | 69c | 202.9$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7d…d5ddbacked Yes | 20c | 202.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd42c…8d31backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed No | 80c | 190$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c59…7259backed Yes | 21c | 186.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 185.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…d8cabacked Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -63%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 31c | 160.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed Yes | 38c | 159.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9597…50babacked No | 79c | 155.56$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…decdbacked No | 76c | 154.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed No | 67c | 150.84$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.78 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 20c | 144.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 177 | 13%23 W · 154 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed6…58b9backed No | 65c | 143.38$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +7.4wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…05e0backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc743…44d8backed Yes | 8c | 137.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -57%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 25c | 126$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd621…db65backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.8wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8429…64bdbacked Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked No | 64c | 110.86$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6176…79e9backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…7b30backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fa…9795backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f2…b499backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3015…611fbacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b87…e76dbacked No | 71c | 98.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x669a…4b43backed No | 63c | 95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5a…acaebacked Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -65%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…0ca0backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b81…4c5dbacked No | 69c | 79.81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…48e5backed Yes | 34c | 79.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked No | 64c | 75.32$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a8…1b38backed No | 68c | 74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa953…be4dbacked No | 63c | 70.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162d…368fbacked Yes | 33c | 61.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x297f…7840backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…9099backed No | 69c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 83 | 77.1%64 W · 19 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…76febacked Yes | 36c | 57.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c0…7e81backed No | 72c | 55.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 252 | 41.7%105 W · 147 L | -17.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61ea…d0c1backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc280…de71backed No | 72c | 48.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb03f…74c6backed Yes | 38c | 47.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…88ccbacked Yes | 35c | 43.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4b…0a3dbacked Yes | 34c | 39.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d36…8551backed No | 69c | 36.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Yes | 37c | 35.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8b…f894backed No | 64c | 33.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…4bdfbacked No | 66c | 30.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…cccbbacked No | 67c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.