NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Pacers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4956255cd3d016df1b0d76938a8f151d7323af9ebbba05b8826460c81bd46e60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Timberwolves, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $265,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $282,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $265,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd31…4777backed Timberwolves | 55c | 33,007$18,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,153.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Pacers | 62c | 25,804$16,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,788.15 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Pacers | 47c | 23,333$10,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,435.5 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Timberwolves | 40c | 14,797$5,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,918.75 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…96d9backed Timberwolves | 48c | 10,715$5,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,123.15 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf86d…ac82backed Timberwolves | 23c | 10,097$2,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,332.48 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers | 45c | 9,111$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,011.11 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 6,854$3,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,763.63 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 6,819$3,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,317.84 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Pacers | 49c | 6,732$3,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,440.87 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Pacers | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…5fd7backed Timberwolves | 52c | 5,780$3,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,032.03 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Timberwolves | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Pacers | 51c | 5,000$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 4,783$2,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,391.73 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Timberwolves | 1c | 4,740$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pacers | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Timberwolves | 49c | 3,794$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.89 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pacers | 52c | 3,772$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.42 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Pacers | 51c | 3,061$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.83 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 2,775$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Pacers | 67c | 2,632$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.42 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Pacers | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Timberwolves | 41c | 2,178$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Timberwolves | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Pacers | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Pacers | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Timberwolves | 45c | 2,000$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.99 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pacers | 50c | 1,991$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.54 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pacers | 48c | 1,889$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.58 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Pacers | 47c | 1,869$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.22 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Pacers | 53c | 1,802$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.94 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…d77dbacked Pacers | 50c | 1,797$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.5 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Pacers | 50c | 1,655$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.06 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,644$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 1,632$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.92 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Pacers | 56c | 1,596$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.23 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Pacers | 62c | 1,573$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.87 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Pacers | 51c | 1,467$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.72 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Pacers | 52c | 1,420$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.51 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Pacers | 63c | 1,412$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 1,400$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Timberwolves | 2c | 1,346$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Pacers | 55c | 1,312$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.14 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Timberwolves | 3c | 1,200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Timberwolves | 19c | 1,129$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.61 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Timberwolves | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…0c0bbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pacers | 70c | 895$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.58 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Timberwolves | 1c | 892.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Timberwolves | 11c | 873.45$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.86 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Pacers | 51c | 849.98$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.29 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 845.84$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.3 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Pacers | 67c | 828.36$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.36 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Pacers | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Pacers | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab7…d178backed Timberwolves | 53c | 649.97$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.49 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…512bbacked Timberwolves | 41c | 614.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 219 | 35.6%78 W · 141 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 612.08$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Pacers | 52c | 603$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.44 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…b99abacked Pacers | 51c | 598.98$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Pacers | 50c | 575.99$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.27 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Timberwolves | 54c | 556.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f3…db29backed Timberwolves | 3c | 550$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Pacers | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac90…1882backed Pacers | 54c | 502$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfc…b032backed Timberwolves | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Timberwolves | 5c | 499.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Pacers | 52c | 494.97$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.59 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b44…3b74backed Pacers | 68c | 478$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccab…cb62backed Timberwolves | 49c | 461.22$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Pacers | 50c | 444.26$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.26 | 278 | 48.9%136 W · 142 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Pacers | 48c | 442.43$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.42 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Pacers | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Timberwolves | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 388 | 45.9%178 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…23dabacked Timberwolves | 4c | 399.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 123 | 4.9%6 W · 117 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5e…2c5dbacked Timberwolves | 7c | 391$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Timberwolves | 8c | 390.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Pacers | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Pacers | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Pacers | 57c | 360.96$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.21 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74c…d5a3backed Timberwolves | 6c | 336.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Timberwolves | 10c | 306.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 108 | 36.1%39 W · 69 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e9…fd77backed Timberwolves | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…2067backed Timberwolves | 35c | 283.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…fa23backed Pacers | 44c | 274.75$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…a887backed Timberwolves | 10c | 274.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 25cpaid | -83%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29ed…962dbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 252.12$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99ac…5e6ebacked Timberwolves | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 72 | 2.8%2 W · 70 L | -12.1wins | -0.17per pick | 20cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…b24ebacked Timberwolves | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 29.8%48 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 221$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.71 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…82c7backed Timberwolves | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed Timberwolves | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…e35fbacked Pacers | 55c | 201.64$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.74 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked Pacers | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Timberwolves | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Timberwolves | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.