Us Politics · resolved market
Trump positive favorability on March 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a80bba57ff577f82b3d1f1efb1bef3656a8467fd95ee1b897ef4d892e68a4b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 0c | 19,385$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 98 | 10.2%10 W · 88 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 22c | 3,700$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 47c | 3,406$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.5 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed Yes | 20c | 3,400$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 63c | 2,910$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.72 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26e8…f15bbacked Yes | 18c | 2,705$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffec…7a8bbacked No | 80c | 2,601$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked Yes | 3c | 2,355$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.73 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b14…49a4backed Yes | 1c | 2,237$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed Yes | 17c | 2,102$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.05 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf8…042fbacked Yes | 19c | 1,600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…4faebacked Yes | 2c | 1,523$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 7c | 1,397$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.19 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 5c | 1,196$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.09 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 78c | 1,181$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.51 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2a…5f18backed Yes | 8c | 1,061$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a45…cf97backed Yes | 2c | 957.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…4db3backed Yes | 10c | 900$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bb…ff01backed No | 77c | 770.98$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed Yes | 5c | 761.66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…8c07backed Yes | 10c | 751.45$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.61 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…d8cabacked Yes | 20c | 750.55$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -63%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 25c | 703.44$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.6 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…421dbacked Yes | 17c | 693$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.81 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…eaa7backed No | 63c | 660.27$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3e…e98fbacked Yes | 18c | 605.62$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…40afbacked Yes | 33c | 598.91$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b5…e2ffbacked No | 79c | 562$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.04 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38d…52a2backed Yes | 4c | 559.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 68c | 490.16$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.91 | 126 | 19.8%25 W · 101 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 9c | 461.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7426…9e9fbacked Yes | 35c | 459.34$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 65c | 459.34$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.77 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d6…f3bdbacked No | 75c | 388.89$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49bf…db20backed Yes | 6c | 366.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0590…256bbacked No | 75c | 364$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked Yes | 33c | 363.75$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.8 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Yes | 17c | 355.89$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0b…9bfbbacked Yes | 4c | 313.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed Yes | 21c | 305.02$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.65 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…1322backed Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.22 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…3f3dbacked Yes | 13c | 299.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7db8…ed19backed Yes | 8c | 287.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbd…8d71backed Yes | 18c | 280.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -53%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc743…44d8backed Yes | 7c | 268.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -57%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked No | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…3fc1backed Yes | 9c | 215.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x668c…ee31backed Yes | 10c | 211.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b11…8625backed Yes | 9c | 210$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d5…fbe0backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…678cbacked No | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…f9a4backed Yes | 13c | 185.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x055c…e4adbacked No | 76c | 178.04$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…decdbacked No | 74c | 161$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 177 | 13%23 W · 154 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 35c | 150$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 235 | 43.8%103 W · 132 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5da5…79eebacked No | 72c | 139.98$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 25c | 125.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…2374backed Yes | 34c | 107.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d77…fdbebacked Yes | 17c | 104.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…f8f5backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79e7…f41fbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 14c | 90$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 252 | 41.7%105 W · 147 L | -17.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac6…950ebacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…57c8backed No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked No | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3762…7ff4backed No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -5.2wins | -0.28per pick | 64cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6c23…b6a1backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -81%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…9099backed No | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 83 | 77.1%64 W · 19 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed No | 68c | 50.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f3…f6b1backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed Yes | 45c | 49.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ad…c4d5backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…0e74backed Yes | 56c | 39.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 45c | 36.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622a…14f0backed No | 72c | 34.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…4bdfbacked No | 59c | 33.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 286 | 36.7%105 W · 181 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf52…41d9backed No | 70c | 22.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…f97bbacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.