MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fd3d1bff3fdfac48283c9f483e8d652dc38eb2df4489f6d7830786358d90585
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 46c | 104,799$48,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,193.44 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 54c | 46,465$25,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,242.59 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 54c | 18,500$9,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,510 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 54c | 10,242$5,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,711.07 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 54c | 7,500$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Under | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.99 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 54c | 2,600$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 54c | 2,458$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.73 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 54c | 2,004$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.93 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Over | 56c | 2,000$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.6 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 62c | 1,977$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.85 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 56c | 1,870$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.22 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 54c | 1,776$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.96 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 54c | 1,740$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.4 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 56c | 1,658$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.33 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 54c | 1,593$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.62 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 54c | 1,434$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.31 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 54c | 1,305$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.59 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 54c | 1,256$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.71 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 54c | 1,219$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.64 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 37c | 950.81$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.02 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 54c | 486.22$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.66 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 54c | 360.9$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.61 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 55c | 339.05$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.57 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 40c | 280.61$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.24 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 54c | 202.01$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.93 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Under | 42c | 152.03$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.04 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x500b…b1a1backed Under | 46c | 145.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.01 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 54c | 129.05$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Over | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 41c | 123.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 54c | 108$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 54c | 105$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 56c | 80.8$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 54c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Over | 55c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Over | 54c | 49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 54c | 48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 54c | 40.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e31…ed82backed Over | 55c | 38.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 40c | 38.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Under | 44c | 35.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Over | 59c | 35.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 418 | 36.4%152 W · 266 L | -31.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 61c | 34.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Under | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b4…70eabacked Under | 47c | 32.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Over | 53c | 32.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 64c | 31.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 44c | 25.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Over | 66c | 24.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 45c | 23.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 56c | 23.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 55c | 21.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ce…3273backed Over | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 55c | 20.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…decfbacked Over | 61c | 20.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 375 | 51.2%192 W · 183 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 54c | 20.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5this page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado RockiesSan Francisco Giants won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-4.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-7.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.