CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Villainous vs Detonate (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51a9594108c18446f31215b51ec44a1ae5acc4f9fe3eb286bf126dd58b9d6e0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Villainousof Villainous, Detonate
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Detonate | 23c | 610.64$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.78 | 3,706 | 29.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L | -297.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Villainous | 65c | 454.78$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.07 | 517 | 56.3%291 W · 226 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Detonate | 29c | 357.59$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.72 | 1,629 | 29.8%485 W · 1,144 L | -90.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Villainous | 71c | 276.36$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.14 | 138 | 69.6%96 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…5cd6backed Detonate | 30c | 264.1$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.11 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Villainous | 67c | 255.36$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.93 | 2,445 | 45.4%1,109 W · 1,336 L | -66.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…6cb9backed Detonate | 33c | 224.2$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.64 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d80…e49fbacked Detonate | 50c | 217.18$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.1 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76af…25c3backed Detonate | 29c | 210$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Detonate | 18c | 198.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 4,022 | 36.4%1,466 W · 2,556 L | -208.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Detonate | 45c | 194.22$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.27 | 4,165 | 50.9%2,119 W · 2,046 L | +70.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba4f…b37bbacked Detonate | 28c | 170.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Villainous | 47c | 149.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.02 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Detonate | 21c | 144.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 5,183 | 37.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L | -274.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…58aabacked Villainous | 48c | 125.77$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.77 | 193 | 46.6%90 W · 103 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Detonate | 49c | 114.05$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.37 | 8,133 | 50.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L | +169.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9311…e731backed Villainous | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Villainous | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…e58cbacked Villainous | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Detonate | 25c | 98.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 936 | 45.3%424 W · 512 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Detonate | 31c | 97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 5,466 | 31.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L | -400.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5008…9466backed Detonate | 38c | 96.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…9f0cbacked Detonate | 32c | 96.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…a9d3backed Villainous | 73c | 81$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 111 | 60.4%67 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Detonate | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 1,496 | 52.9%791 W · 705 L | +30.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Detonate | 28c | 79.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 805 | 34%274 W · 531 L | -51.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Villainous | 42c | 75.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Villainous | 68c | 68.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 1,995 | 47.5%948 W · 1,047 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Detonate | 48c | 68.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 781 | 48.3%377 W · 404 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Detonate | 18c | 58.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 694 | 47.1%327 W · 367 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed Detonate | 34c | 57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 521 | 55.1%287 W · 234 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Villainous | 78c | 54.85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 312 | 47.8%149 W · 163 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Detonate | 46c | 53.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 1,346 | 44.1%594 W · 752 L | +45.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Detonate | 29c | 52.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 550 | 55.1%303 W · 247 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Detonate | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 742 | 51.1%379 W · 363 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2c…f5bebacked Detonate | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf066…3349backed Detonate | 23c | 49.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Detonate | 55c | 49.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 5,707 | 47.2%2,694 W · 3,013 L | +45.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Villainous | 66c | 48.93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 2,241 | 47.6%1,067 W · 1,174 L | -59.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…cbc6backed Detonate | 31c | 47.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Villainous | 71c | 44.73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Detonate | 48c | 40.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 1,984 | 42.2%838 W · 1,146 L | -74.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed Villainous | 79c | 38.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 554 | 69.1%383 W · 171 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Villainous | 64c | 38.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 1,704 | 47%801 W · 903 L | -29.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Villainous | 69c | 36.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 850 | 51.8%440 W · 410 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Villainous | 69c | 33.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Detonate | 58c | 28.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 1,279 | 54.3%694 W · 585 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Villainous | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…76b5backed Detonate | 49c | 24.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 184 | 47.8%88 W · 96 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed Villainous | 66c | 24.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x107d…4fadbacked Villainous | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Villainous vs Detonate (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Villainous vs Detonate - Map 1 WinnerDetonate won
- Counter-Strike: Villainous vs Detonate - Map 2 WinnerVillainous won
- Map Handicap: VIL (-1.5) vs Detonate (+1.5)Detonate won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.