TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Maria Timofeeva vs Veronika Podrez

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Maria Timofeevaof Maria Timofeeva, Veronika Podrez
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,723
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,203

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,723 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9d8a…5201backed Veronika Podrez17c2,900$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Veronika Podrez6c2,047$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.813,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Veronika Podrez8c1,983$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.078,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cdf…ec9ebacked Maria Timofeeva63c1,430$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.717556.6%99 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Veronika Podrez15c1,260$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.624,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Veronika Podrez13c1,098$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.061,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Veronika Podrez39c1,030$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.733438.6%129 W · 205 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Veronika Podrez21c1,015$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.996945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Veronika Podrez37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3703,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Veronika Podrez23c999.99$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.579,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Maria Timofeeva76c741.47$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.714,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Veronika Podrez39c737.4$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.092,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Veronika Podrez20c704.25$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.42,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Maria Timofeeva80c691.75$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.351,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Maria Timofeeva75c527.12$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.444,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Veronika Podrez9c501.68$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.794,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x332e…df71backed Veronika Podrez40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20042934.7%149 W · 280 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Veronika Podrez39c384.61$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Maria Timofeeva61c317.55$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.854,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed Maria Timofeeva64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.58956.2%50 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Veronika Podrez26c288.48$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.478,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Veronika Podrez15c250$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.526921.2%57 W · 212 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Maria Timofeeva60c248.7$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.483,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3705…9677backed Veronika Podrez41c244.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013029.2%38 W · 92 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x023d…23acbacked Veronika Podrez7c214.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1561755.9%345 W · 272 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe521…9caebacked Veronika Podrez23c206.83$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5744527.2%121 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Veronika Podrez20c205$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Veronika Podrez24c170.83$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Maria Timofeeva78c143.71$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.486,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Maria Timofeeva69c136.68$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.771,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Maria Timofeeva77c128$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.445,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa95a…6b78backed Maria Timofeeva59c121.95$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Veronika Podrez14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1519410.3%20 W · 174 L+0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Veronika Podrez34c106.35$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.741,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Maria Timofeeva76c105$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.24,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Veronika Podrez21c104.48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.511,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xd8bb…7cefbacked Veronika Podrez33c100.23$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6136743.6%160 W · 207 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Veronika Podrez39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf23a…df6fbacked Maria Timofeeva80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2051252.1%267 W · 245 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Maria Timofeeva61c98.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.361,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Maria Timofeeva76c96.35$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1253043%228 W · 302 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Maria Timofeeva59c95.46$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1456651.8%293 W · 273 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Veronika Podrez38c94$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.721,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Veronika Podrez40c92.07$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8350845.9%233 W · 275 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e0…5a1bbacked Maria Timofeeva73c89.05$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.221533.5%72 W · 143 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Maria Timofeeva73c80.34$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.422,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Veronika Podrez35c79$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6555748.8%272 W · 285 L+23.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Veronika Podrez32c78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9622547.1%106 W · 119 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc110…9a30backed Veronika Podrez16c73.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5812846.1%59 W · 69 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e1f…7661backed Maria Timofeeva61c68.16$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5823352.8%123 W · 110 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1e…4754backed Veronika Podrez31c67.07$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8143444.9%195 W · 239 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…6e9bbacked Veronika Podrez22c64.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1428249.3%139 W · 143 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Veronika Podrez21c63.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.32,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b89…98d6backed Maria Timofeeva63c55$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3538866.2%257 W · 131 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x626d…e570backed Veronika Podrez39c49.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.552035.2%183 W · 337 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked Veronika Podrez37c45.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7722246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Veronika Podrez25c45.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.426,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Maria Timofeeva60c41.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.321,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Veronika Podrez33c37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2162727.3%171 W · 456 L-15.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Maria Timofeeva77c35.21$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.19824.5%24 W · 74 L-16.0wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-58.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Veronika Podrez39c35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.653,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Maria Timofeeva63c32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.842,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Maria Timofeeva80c32$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.492674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7da3…bf1bbacked Maria Timofeeva66c30.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.426175.4%46 W · 15 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Veronika Podrez40c27.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1129237.3%109 W · 183 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Maria Timofeeva78c25.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.826,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Maria Timofeeva61c24.96$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8543952.4%230 W · 209 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Maria Timofeeva78c24.88$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.472,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae85…c96abacked Maria Timofeeva61c24.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5929352.2%153 W · 140 L-21.0wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Maria Timofeeva60c21.49$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.631657%180 W · 136 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc42…b12cbacked Maria Timofeeva80c18.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.791376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+28.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x362c…67e6backed Maria Timofeeva75c17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2637255.6%207 W · 165 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7060…d3b9backed Maria Timofeeva64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.