NFL · resolved market
Ravens vs. Bengals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b1ab931423c81a7c11b9d177fa91cb807950af379acaebed48f04cbb7437ade
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ravensof Ravens, Bengals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Bengals | 44c | 10,388$4,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,549.34 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Bengals | 45c | 5,705$2,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,576.52 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Ravens | 54c | 4,326$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.94 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Ravens | 22c | 3,877$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,041.78 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c7…8371backed Ravens | 56c | 3,540$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.15 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Bengals | 64c | 3,079$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.42 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Ravens | 39c | 2,984$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.79 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Ravens | 57c | 2,197$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.5 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Ravens | 57c | 2,012$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.31 | 193 | 61.7%119 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Bengals | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Ravens | 55c | 1,780$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.41 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Ravens | 55c | 1,761$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.98 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Ravens | 57c | 1,642$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.08 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…7089backed Ravens | 61c | 1,636$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.67 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Bengals | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked Ravens | 57c | 1,000$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd022…3834backed Ravens | 57c | 736.65$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…97a0backed Ravens | 40c | 730$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Ravens | 56c | 537.55$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.52 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ee…d947backed Bengals | 45c | 500$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.83 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 39cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Ravens | 27c | 481.17$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.28 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Ravens | 57c | 444.8$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.04 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…abbabacked Ravens | 57c | 420.32$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.32 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…8c07backed Ravens | 55c | 394.32$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.89 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Ravens | 20c | 360$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.5 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0232…9391backed Ravens | 57c | 357.8$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.9 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb610…a580backed Ravens | 58c | 346$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Bengals | 44c | 333$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.52 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…102bbacked Ravens | 77c | 332.09$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.03 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Bengals | 44c | 328.62$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.28 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Bengals | 66c | 303.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Bengals | 45c | 301.55$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd86…36b3backed Bengals | 43c | 299.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.9 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…4feabacked Ravens | 57c | 297.8$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.81 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd6…27d3backed Ravens | 62c | 284.38$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.82 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Ravens | 54c | 280.22$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.22 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Bengals | 44c | 255$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.16 | 180 | 51.7%93 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd234…43fcbacked Ravens | 25c | 250$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b0…69c8backed Bengals | 44c | 245.51$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4181backed Ravens | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Bengals | 44c | 225.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd376…1eefbacked Bengals | 45c | 223$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ba…b393backed Ravens | 56c | 223$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1cf…43ffbacked Bengals | 45c | 210$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf094…13d6backed Ravens | 57c | 210$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8607…4a0bbacked Ravens | 31c | 206.43$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.97 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea2…afafbacked Bengals | 44c | 201.87$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Ravens | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 375 | 56.3%211 W · 164 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…39cfbacked Ravens | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3e…21a8backed Ravens | 45c | 200$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.05 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd7…c1f3backed Ravens | 56c | 190$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.55 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7019…4d84backed Ravens | 47c | 176.92$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.92 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…b2aabacked Ravens | 37c | 176.76$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Ravens | 57c | 176.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.37 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Ravens | 57c | 176$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.03 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Ravens | 35c | 174.94$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.74 | 134 | 28.4%38 W · 96 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1130…f920backed Ravens | 57c | 174.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.83 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Ravens | 57c | 173.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f28…f4cebacked Ravens | 57c | 170$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44c…34f9backed Bengals | 45c | 170$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Ravens | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Bengals | 45c | 150$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Ravens | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660f…ec30backed Ravens | 74c | 140$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…0b47backed Ravens | 58c | 132.94$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Ravens | 56c | 130$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.68 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3b…38dbbacked Ravens | 59c | 127.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…e4b8backed Ravens | 24c | 123.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.48 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Bengals | 66c | 106.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7651…2fa9backed Ravens | 56c | 105$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed Bengals | 39c | 102.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 101 | 25.7%26 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Ravens | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b8…762dbacked Bengals | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Ravens | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb139…f511backed Ravens | 53c | 98.3$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Bengals | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91f…e659backed Bengals | 44c | 95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57fa…51c4backed Ravens | 32c | 94.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.37 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Bengals | 29c | 93.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Bengals | 41c | 90.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…b978backed Ravens | 57c | 90.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Ravens | 57c | 88.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…9741backed Ravens | 57c | 87.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Ravens | 58c | 86.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 227 | 45.4%103 W · 124 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x675b…822abacked Bengals | 59c | 82.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Ravens | 55c | 72.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49de…4dc5backed Ravens | 58c | 69.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd5…63a1backed Ravens | 58c | 69.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 158 | 58.9%93 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf631…e20fbacked Bengals | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cab…6817backed Ravens | 49c | 61.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Bengals | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 162 | 59.9%97 W · 65 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ed…0bb4backed Bengals | 34c | 59.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Bengals | 44c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Ravens | 56c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…e2d3backed Ravens | 59c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Ravens | 65c | 53.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Bengals | 63c | 53.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…a1b2backed Bengals | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Ravens | 53c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Ravens | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.