TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Raptors

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Raptors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$226,792
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$262,823

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,792 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x997b…801ebacked Raptors11c14,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50046131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Raptors11c10,600$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,21234532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Raptors12c10,212$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.6277745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors12c10,050$1,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.491,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Raptors9c9,676$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.6696447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked Raptors7c8,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5609338.7%36 W · 57 L+10.0wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+91.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x88db…3843backed Raptors13c7,150$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.517546.3%81 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Raptors12c5,100$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6121,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Raptors0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Raptors3c5,000$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Raptors12c4,263$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.5546342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Raptors13c4,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.981,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Raptors11c3,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.9940627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors11c2,390$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.933,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Raptors9c2,093$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.681,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Raptors11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22019149.7%95 W · 96 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Raptors1c2,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.57502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Raptors12c1,742$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.8485347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Raptors13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Raptors9c1,518$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.6330440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2873…fc1cbacked Raptors12c1,320$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.4933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-44.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14dd…13eebacked Raptors3c1,310$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.31482.1%1 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-67%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Raptors1c1,246$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.925502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Raptors12c1,200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14423135.1%81 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Raptors11c1,100$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2732130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Raptors13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9851037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Raptors13c999.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13035046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Raptors12c999.98$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1208521.2%18 W · 67 L-0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid+33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Raptors12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010730.8%33 W · 74 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors12c826.97$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.826,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Raptors12c800$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9661345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c4f…4afebacked Raptors12c800$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x193d…2eb4backed Raptors13c769.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010240.2%41 W · 61 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc254…b899backed Raptors13c769.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006121.3%13 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick21cpaid+17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Raptors14c689$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4646928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Raptors10c649.85$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.981,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Raptors12c625$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7587647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Raptors11c609.76$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0733931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeb8a…f0ddbacked Raptors12c606.84$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.435916.9%10 W · 49 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Raptors13c604.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2885542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Raptors11c601.16$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1388053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Raptors13c580$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.436643.2%158 W · 208 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Raptors12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ce…a6abbacked Raptors12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608442.9%36 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Raptors12c499.96$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6068642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…7ff3backed Raptors10c496$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5628651.4%147 W · 139 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Raptors11c467.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Raptors9c445.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6138027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcef6…4641backed Raptors12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010426%27 W · 77 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Raptors12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5034551.3%177 W · 168 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked Raptors14c400.11$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5631631.6%100 W · 216 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Raptors12c400$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4850453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Raptors11c389.87$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4950245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe66…23d8backed Raptors10c349.66$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf86…601fbacked Raptors14c348.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050144.7%224 W · 277 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Raptors13c327.43$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5525845%116 W · 142 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Raptors14c305.01$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.773647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Raptors12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ec9…8ef2backed Raptors13c251.26$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.712425%6 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7ba…dc31backed Raptors10c247$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.740%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb30c…fc14backed Raptors14c214.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-80.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Raptors12c208.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2533638.1%128 W · 208 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc575…3fb1backed Raptors10c180.63$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.06287.1%2 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-71.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3585…1595backed Raptors13c180$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1526041.2%107 W · 153 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Raptors10c169.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.861,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd121…54c7backed Raptors12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207432.4%24 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Raptors12c149.59$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9594951.3%487 W · 462 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x798f…ab79backed Raptors12c145$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-54.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Raptors12c141.47$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1422846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…8516backed Raptors12c125.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517834.8%62 W · 116 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc13f…c93bbacked Raptors14c107.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1563445.1%286 W · 348 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3c0…948dbacked Raptors14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+29.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Raptors14c100.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1417838.2%68 W · 110 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5203…28b8backed Raptors13c100.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134438.6%17 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c0c…9d02backed Raptors12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1226124.1%63 W · 198 L+1.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b4…4f8cbacked Cavaliers79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-53.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5da4…143bbacked Raptors12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x89a2…6c31backed Raptors21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x719d…4e73backed Raptors11c97.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.711834.7%41 W · 77 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0111…1d60backed Raptors13c92.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-55.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7d3…fefcbacked Raptors14c87.26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+29.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa954…bfdabacked Raptors13c84.62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9614…4df5backed Raptors12c83.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.04650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddcb…05babacked Raptors13c77$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f81…ee67backed Cavaliers79c29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b1b…ca2cbacked Cavaliers79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.25366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8111…c309backed Cavaliers79c23$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2468…5a76backed Cavaliers79c22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c51…57e5backed Cavaliers79c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7266…05cbbacked Cavaliers79c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda87…9fe8backed Cavaliers79c16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d22…8f72backed Cavaliers79c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5585…32dfbacked Cavaliers79c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x465a…e34fbacked Cavaliers79c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9dd…412ebacked Cavaliers79c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e71…7356backed Cavaliers79c13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.