Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5dd6846dd9f7e4e17fb5d69a3b48a163aa3605079e8bf8a3dca1c60b449c3ee8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,922
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,922 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 57c | 2,623$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.09 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 45c | 2,194$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.7 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 71c | 2,162$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.74 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 43c | 1,713$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.28 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 15c | 1,647$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.98 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 43c | 900$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.5 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 55c | 832.75$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.49 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 712.14$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.67 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Under | 44c | 655.99$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.64 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 44c | 536.63$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.51 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 49c | 409.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 66c | 379.2$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.28 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 43c | 366.2$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.45 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 43c | 339.74$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.09 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 44c | 323.96$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.54 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 50c | 298.17$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.25 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Over | 57c | 280.07$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Over | 57c | 266.37$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.43 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 58c | 212.02$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.05 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 49c | 204.01$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.92 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa69c…890ebacked Over | 49c | 188.43$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 43c | 127.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ce…e232backed Under | 56c | 122.68$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 64c | 116.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 49c | 112.72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.98 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 57c | 108.64$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 43c | 102.49$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 64c | 98.16$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 54c | 92.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…4247backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 67c | 80.58$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 72.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 46c | 64.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 69c | 53.91$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 43c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 44c | 48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Under | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 61c | 44.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2977…7c24backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 47c | 39.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 46c | 37.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Over | 80c | 31.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 48c | 29.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 49c | 26.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 43c | 25.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Over | 49c | 22.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 2.5this page
- Los Angeles FC vs. Houston Dynamo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Houston Dynamo (-1.5)Houston Dynamo won
- Spread: Houston Dynamo (-2.5)Houston Dynamo won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)Houston Dynamo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.