Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e42a775b27f8eca6f4d6ebbb4a7240f8356a34c7cbf1e719c03eb604add0810
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 2c | 2,242$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed No | 1c | 2,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed No | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 75c | 875.25$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.68 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf0…ff09backed Yes | 42c | 728.9$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.48 | 187 | 31%58 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 32c | 615.5$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.35 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc1…b9f8backed Yes | 73c | 608.67$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.34 | 349 | 22.9%80 W · 269 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 14c | 493.2$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.18 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…cc26backed Yes | 31c | 474.2$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.01 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 56c | 446.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.2 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 23c | 412.26$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.84 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 12c | 404.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.82 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x607c…8e7ebacked No | 5c | 377.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 960 | 15%144 W · 816 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe094…11cdbacked Yes | 18c | 350.57$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.03 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 37c | 334.81$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.45 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 4c | 324.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…ad16backed Yes | 31c | 316.56$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.55 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad50…3122backed Yes | 23c | 313.66$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.45 | 474 | 23.6%112 W · 362 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 20c | 312.42$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.07 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce3…1689backed Yes | 17c | 304.1$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.18 | 474 | 32.5%154 W · 320 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d5…33fdbacked Yes | 30c | 258$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.73 | 308 | 32.5%100 W · 208 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…1936backed Yes | 57c | 245.8$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.04 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…8c1cbacked Yes | 8c | 202.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.16 | 375 | 32.8%123 W · 252 L | +36.4wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65ed…4da6backed Yes | 48c | 198.49$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.57 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 42c | 194$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.54 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410f…57febacked Yes | 19c | 189.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 10c | 180.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.05 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 18c | 173.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 43c | 173.19$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.73 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 26c | 173.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…1a53backed Yes | 46c | 172.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.33 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 58c | 167.72$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.87 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e71…afe6backed Yes | 30c | 165.54$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.35 | 272 | 26.5%72 W · 200 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 40c | 165$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.31 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…4357backed Yes | 15c | 164.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 208 | 32.7%68 W · 140 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Yes | 11c | 149.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.66 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 39c | 146.36$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.02 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 59c | 142$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.9 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 29c | 140.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 31c | 140.45$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.49 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 60c | 127.72$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed Yes | 18c | 126.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.38 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 76c | 102.4$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78ed…ab3abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 402 | 26.9%108 W · 294 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Yes | 31c | 96.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +220.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 57c | 93.65$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.79 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5c…04a9backed Yes | 37c | 91.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.58 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 24c | 90.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.7 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…7fbebacked Yes | 30c | 89.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.29 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 71c | 84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 32c | 83.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 44c | 81.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…9c28backed Yes | 74c | 79.65$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…c321backed Yes | 65c | 72.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…f72ebacked Yes | 35c | 71.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…9160backed No | 68c | 68.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 420 | 49%206 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked No | 77c | 67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 50c | 66.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed No | 52c | 65.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63bd…aff2backed Yes | 16c | 64.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.38 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…65d5backed No | 19c | 63.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 61c | 59.66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdadb…1870backed Yes | 23c | 58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 589 | 22.8%134 W · 455 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 34c | 55.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 42c | 54.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb062…ed14backed No | 49c | 50.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…0a0ebacked No | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 399 | 68.9%275 W · 124 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda0…8992backed Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…b57abacked Yes | 43c | 45.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 52c | 43.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 62c | 40.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 65c | 38.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 59c | 36.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 74c | 33.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f29…475abacked Yes | 37c | 33.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 74c | 33.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d4…028ebacked Yes | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 72c | 29.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 58c | 25.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 72c | 22.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 435 | 63.9%278 W · 157 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9442…adcdbacked Yes | 51c | 19.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 78c | 19.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 7?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.