NBA · resolved market
NBA Cup Final: Thunder vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6282c5942bd77010eb7b3a08b598a681b407afed27f112aa73a1cf52952c1e91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Thunder, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $235,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $244,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2317…c891backed Thunder | 62c | 30,842$19,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,275.98 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Thunder | 65c | 24,000$15,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,718.67 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Bucks | 33c | 20,743$6,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,897.98 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Thunder | 11c | 14,201$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.63 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Bucks | 34c | 11,870$4,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,845.15 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Thunder | 66c | 10,757$7,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,099.41 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Bucks | 34c | 10,212$3,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,739.75 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bucks | 44c | 8,890$3,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,002.21 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Bucks | 36c | 8,503$3,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,473.49 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Bucks | 43c | 7,101$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,020.93 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked Thunder | 64c | 5,602$3,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,585.28 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Bucks | 52c | 5,367$2,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,581.49 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Thunder | 67c | 4,454$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,984.27 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Bucks | 47c | 4,298$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.26 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Thunder | 1c | 4,189$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.78 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…5b47backed Thunder | 66c | 4,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Bucks | 34c | 3,926$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,591.1 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Bucks | 35c | 3,577$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325.21 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…3e6cbacked Bucks | 34c | 2,992$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +149.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Bucks | 34c | 2,919$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.45 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Bucks | 35c | 2,792$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.66 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Bucks | 34c | 2,667$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.08 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…ef89backed Thunder | 68c | 2,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…c487backed Bucks | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Thunder | 54c | 1,483$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.38 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc4…0bfdbacked Thunder | 67c | 1,436$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.94 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cec…a0fdbacked Thunder | 65c | 1,432$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Bucks | 36c | 1,210$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.52 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Thunder | 16c | 1,113$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.1 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Bucks | 32c | 1,080$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.56 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…3386backed Bucks | 32c | 1,032$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +139.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed Bucks | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b52…724abacked Thunder | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x296a…125fbacked Bucks | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…5124backed Bucks | 33c | 954.68$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed Thunder | 1c | 900$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 101 | 29.7%30 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…ee60backed Thunder | 66c | 720$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.2 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Thunder | 67c | 643.37$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.06 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Thunder | 55c | 604.44$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.44 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Bucks | 35c | 600$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1636…8c6abacked Thunder | 65c | 596.99$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.04 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Thunder | 64c | 574.47$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3642…aac6backed Bucks | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.33per pick | 45cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Thunder | 68c | 564$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.52 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Bucks | 32c | 551.02$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.7 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Bucks | 34c | 542$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.72 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Bucks | 28c | 540$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.8 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Bucks | 54c | 518.06$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.5 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…9f7ebacked Thunder | 60c | 501.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.89 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Thunder | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Thunder | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Thunder | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Thunder | 66c | 465.91$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.5 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…b75dbacked Bucks | 35c | 448.95$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +122.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89de…f09cbacked Bucks | 48c | 427.09$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.09 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2856…ed0ebacked Thunder | 17c | 400$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e5…316dbacked Bucks | 33c | 358.7$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.33 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…dc6abacked Bucks | 33c | 336.65$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed Bucks | 33c | 333$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.11 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Bucks | 61c | 325.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -14.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…8441backed Bucks | 33c | 320$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.4 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Bucks | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37cd…5b44backed Bucks | 35c | 280.81$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.53 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Thunder | 56c | 276.8$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.01 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Thunder | 66c | 250$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Thunder | 67c | 246.72$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Bucks | 62c | 201.6$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.61 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Bucks | 43c | 200$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Thunder | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 293 | 55.3%162 W · 131 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06b5…6c0dbacked Bucks | 33c | 152.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Bucks | 46c | 147.79$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.24 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Bucks | 34c | 134.97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.22 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Bucks | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca69…fd01backed Thunder | 57c | 116.06$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.74 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Thunder | 53c | 112.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 306 | 48.7%149 W · 157 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ea…3039backed Thunder | 61c | 109.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.61 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb44a…8e18backed Thunder | 66c | 106.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Bucks | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Thunder | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 258 | 51.6%133 W · 125 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Bucks | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Thunder | 53c | 84.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Thunder | 66c | 82.57$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 352 | 35.2%124 W · 228 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c33…c968backed Bucks | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…6268backed Bucks | 33c | 80.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +155.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0060…eb25backed Bucks | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked Bucks | 33c | 75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53da…1067backed Thunder | 68c | 70.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d68…f5c5backed Thunder | 68c | 66.4$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…f1e7backed Thunder | 68c | 58.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Thunder | 47c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d855backed Thunder | 68c | 47.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c5…67e0backed Thunder | 66c | 45.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e94…3bf7backed Bucks | 33c | 42.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Thunder | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…4e98backed Bucks | 35c | 38.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe4…dc79backed Thunder | 68c | 36.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b4…5aabbacked Thunder | 67c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 173 | 63.6%110 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…87edbacked Bucks | 33c | 33.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Thunder | 66c | 33.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 345 | 48.7%168 W · 177 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Thunder | 63c | 29.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NBA Cup Final: Thunder vs. Bucksthis page
- Will the Thunder and Bucks combine for 215 or more points?Under won
- Will the Thunder beat the Bucks by 5 or more points?MIL won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.