Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63937a3c82f91efda8ac8bf3cfb7c24c2555c9d873d2dac168d088a0562ad738
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,475$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 46c | 1,422$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.23 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e2…282fbacked Yes | 21c | 933.63$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.7 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked Yes | 31c | 872.69$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.12 | 577 | 47%271 W · 306 L | +40.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 38c | 810.26$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.66 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…005bbacked Yes | 3c | 647.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 167 | 9.6%16 W · 151 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 69c | 638.22$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.14 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 59c | 547.26$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.62 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd969…0932backed Yes | 40c | 531.22$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…ad84backed Yes | 4c | 519.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 507 | 3.4%17 W · 490 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…decbbacked Yes | 67c | 490.65$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.55 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff1f…e2e6backed No | 64c | 439$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 50c | 408.33$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.49 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 79c | 402.5$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed Yes | 33c | 390.55$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.97 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 55c | 353.61$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.19 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa12d…4c1bbacked No | 52c | 346.4$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.02 | 202 | 41.1%83 W · 119 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 63c | 340.1$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.97 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 54c | 333.64$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.83 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 65c | 325.32$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.33 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6e…5848backed Yes | 50c | 316.72$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.81 | 241 | 41.1%99 W · 142 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 72c | 295.64$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.18 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32a7…a84bbacked Yes | 39c | 277.59$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.12 | 207 | 39.1%81 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 61c | 263.89$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.36 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 63c | 246.88$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.02 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 66c | 230.06$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.56 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 57c | 227.57$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.64 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 60c | 225.56$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.48 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…29dfbacked Yes | 29c | 222.64$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.56 | 508 | 60.4%307 W · 201 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…1bb0backed No | 55c | 220.69$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.53 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +10.6wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 57c | 217.4$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.81 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 69c | 215$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.65 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 53c | 206.9$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.2 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 54c | 204.52$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.75 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…5d54backed Yes | 48c | 203.3$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.17 | 283 | 24.7%70 W · 213 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5824…19d5backed Yes | 39c | 201.15$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.05 | 126 | 29.4%37 W · 89 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ab…c8dfbacked Yes | 33c | 195.33$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.79 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa755…6c5bbacked Yes | 52c | 195.14$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.33 | 125 | 30.4%38 W · 87 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 66c | 184.44$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.39 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…4ffabacked No | 53c | 182.27$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.89 | 760 | 59.2%450 W · 310 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…4b1abacked Yes | 30c | 181.81$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 429 | 48%206 W · 223 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec90…fd41backed Yes | 36c | 180$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 50c | 178$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.84 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 51c | 177.32$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.01 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 50c | 167.61$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.74 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 61c | 165.13$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…a2d2backed Yes | 44c | 165$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.06 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 55c | 160.27$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.94 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbee8…15bebacked Yes | 38c | 158.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 84 | 21.4%18 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 59c | 156.08$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.59 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.48 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…2475backed No | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc138…b91bbacked Yes | 45c | 150$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 54c | 142.62$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.01 | 564 | 24.5%138 W · 426 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 62c | 141.03$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 33c | 136$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 39c | 131.39$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.37 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a35…62b0backed Yes | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b3…bfebbacked Yes | 25c | 120.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 62c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…8503backed No | 60c | 118.78$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 53c | 116.21$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 32c | 115$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 475 | 38.1%181 W · 294 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked Yes | 45c | 108$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 60c | 105.86$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 401 | 62.6%251 W · 150 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…8b5ebacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032f…8d74backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 52c | 99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.34 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 55c | 96.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 31c | 95.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…d572backed No | 51c | 94.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.34 | 374 | 65.2%244 W · 130 L | +23.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 47c | 94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed No | 68c | 92$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 36c | 90.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a01…cd36backed Yes | 51c | 90.43$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 71c | 90$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.49 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaddf…b8febacked No | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 286 | 66.8%191 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4441…680abacked Yes | 43c | 85.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 69c | 81.97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9016…e4babacked Yes | 50c | 81.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…1a13backed Yes | 38c | 79.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…81b2backed Yes | 14c | 78.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 52c | 78.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 62c | 76.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 69c | 75.44$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…e1e0backed Yes | 32c | 75.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed Yes | 37c | 73.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 40c | 72.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 982 | 36.7%360 W · 622 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 54c | 69.31$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb87f…f7d4backed Yes | 31c | 66.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…82f5backed No | 79c | 66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 53c | 65.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f9…8d24backed Yes | 30c | 62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 477 | 38.8%185 W · 292 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5201…34c3backed No | 75c | 60.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e9…1f83backed Yes | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012f…400dbacked No | 62c | 59.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 348 | 31%108 W · 240 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 15?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 15?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C or higher on August 15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.