MLB · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67950f4819de9b90217200526c094089640d45498e28cecb33470ae095f11a0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Angelsof Minnesota Twins, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 2,519$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.91 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 2,345$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.06 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 1,971$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.34 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Los Angeles Angels | 77c | 1,271$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.82 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.13 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 1,141$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.4 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 936.98$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.79 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 900$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 809.37$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.44 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 772.19$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.45 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Minnesota Twins | 23c | 751.61$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.87 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 631.13$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.54 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 503.95$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.5 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 443.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.28 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 334$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.92 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Minnesota Twins | 23c | 327$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.54 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 308.18$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.79 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 306.45$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.45 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 282.47$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.88 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 270.71$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.43 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 247.49$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.52 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 238$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 224$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 224$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 76c | 213.42$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 184$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.28 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 180$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Minnesota Twins | 23c | 169.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 140$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Minnesota Twins | 20c | 136.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 135.99$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.27 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd72d…0dbbbacked Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 118.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Minnesota Twins | 36c | 108.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Minnesota Twins | 37c | 98.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 88.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 83.32$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 82.56$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Minnesota Twins | 20c | 81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Minnesota Twins | 30c | 76.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Minnesota Twins | 36c | 65.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Minnesota Twins | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Los Angeles Angels | 73c | 59.82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 58.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 56.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 54.01$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 53.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…d760backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 49.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Minnesota Twins | 38c | 46.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…b73dbacked Minnesota Twins | 38c | 46.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 46.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0188…afc3backed Minnesota Twins | 27c | 42.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 38.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 33.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 19.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Angels | 71c | 16.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Los Angeles Angels | 73c | 16.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota TwinsLos Angeles Angels won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twins: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota TwinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.