TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,459
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,364

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,459 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9a4c…1f30backed Over49c17,700$8,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,712.438943.8%39 W · 50 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Over50c12,500$6,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,25048952.8%258 W · 231 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under51c7,996$4,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,917.9932152%167 W · 154 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Over49c7,876$3,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,859.1455053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under50c7,078$3,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,517.924,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under51c7,000$3,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,43044749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,45027254.4%148 W · 124 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under50c4,645$2,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,319.9311,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked Under50c3,577$1,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,788.456747.8%32 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under51c2,562$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,243.143,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under52c2,011$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.12,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed Under51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.788256.1%46 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x684b…8409backed Over49c1,830$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.8926054.2%141 W · 119 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under63c1,650$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.834,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over49c1,615$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.3423758.6%139 W · 98 L+16.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c1,500$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.551,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Under51c1,373$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.553661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under66c1,106$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.441,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Under50c1,037$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.432,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under52c992.59$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.058,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over52c854.81$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.793,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under50c592.7$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.3577647.4%368 W · 408 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over50c564$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2824,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Over48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24024651.6%127 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dc6…4b55backed Under51c490.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.29062.2%56 W · 34 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over46c466$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.665,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under51c418$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.062,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under50c390$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1951,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under50c378$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1891,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c371$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.226,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under67c324$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.9291252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Under51c323.53$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.5322055.5%122 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under50c322.88$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.066,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under53c314.55$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.8410,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under51c301.54$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14729752.5%156 W · 141 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Over49c280.12$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.7757548%276 W · 299 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over45c254.82$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.6775248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under52c251.88$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.421,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x009b…e769backed Under51c246.68$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.8712262.3%76 W · 46 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37bd…ed2abacked Over55c210$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.3913153.4%70 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Under51c200.37$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.6897050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Under50c197$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.569453.6%372 W · 322 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0865248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Over50c194.08$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0489153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under51c183.97$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.1547350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over52c182.31$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.851,21855.6%677 W · 541 L+94.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c179.98$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.3112,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over46c174.04$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.834,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Over59c169$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4915848.7%77 W · 81 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over31c155.55$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.729,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under51c152.81$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.432,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6986…3369backed Over49c147.39$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7824547.3%116 W · 129 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5323…326abacked Over56c143.16$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807234.7%25 W · 47 L-10.8wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-31.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over53c118$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.545,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8345…5cadbacked Under54c110.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.066152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4954146.8%253 W · 288 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under51c99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5125648%123 W · 133 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Under51c91$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5968846.8%322 W · 366 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under47c88.7$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.868,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1405…9882backed Over49c85.87$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.858547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over49c80.41$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.755,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,19753.9%645 W · 552 L+42.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under50c75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.51,80453.8%970 W · 834 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Under50c70.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.181,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under74c68.51$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.653,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over31c66.25$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.854715.9%87 W · 460 L-40.7wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under51c64.72$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.713,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under49c64$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.644,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab8b…24ffbacked Over43c61.43$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5224843.5%108 W · 140 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over46c61.29$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1940341.4%167 W · 236 L-20.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked Over46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.641236.7%151 W · 261 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x508d…3961backed Under55c59.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Over44c59.95$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3819542.6%83 W · 112 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over41c52.32$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.421,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Under66c51.6$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.516753.7%36 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3534…a1b3backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257051.4%36 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa384…3c9fbacked Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2528147.7%134 W · 147 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under53c47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.881,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Over49c45.3$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0644648.7%217 W · 229 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2073849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x250f…4fc6backed Over25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013025.4%33 W · 97 L-17.3wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-35.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under50c39.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.748653.7%261 W · 225 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e53…922dbacked Under51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2229747.1%140 W · 157 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Under51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2219252.6%101 W · 91 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under51c37.56$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.222,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13d0…4a70backed Under65c37$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0834639.6%137 W · 209 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Over49c36.32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7946946.3%217 W · 252 L-25.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe14a…62bebacked Under50c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.415145.7%69 W · 82 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Over46c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6435248%169 W · 183 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under51c31.78$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5749158.9%289 W · 202 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d03…b8a6backed Under64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.254153.7%22 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over55c30.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.482,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df0…1376backed Under52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.857644.7%34 W · 42 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Over48c26.81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8742448.1%204 W · 220 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Under52c26.37$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7340447.8%193 W · 211 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Under56c24.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1134255.3%189 W · 153 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x657c…66a3backed Under51c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.788855.7%49 W · 39 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.