MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6970398b636a60fd491fe0127a3b7b451d3d0840b4b15c097e2ff81f353cb668
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Phillies, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $218,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $229,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd32…33c4backed Phillies | 63c | 39,024$24,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,658.72 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.31per pick | 53cpaid | -66%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Athletics | 36c | 23,333$8,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,924.24 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Phillies | 65c | 19,713$12,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,813.77 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Phillies | 64c | 12,232$7,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,778.2 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Phillies | 59c | 6,500$3,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,809.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics | 39c | 5,402$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,277.46 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Phillies | 60c | 5,339$3,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,228 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Phillies | 55c | 5,174$2,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,841.43 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Athletics | 67c | 4,914$3,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.37 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Athletics | 38c | 4,826$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,986.27 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 44c | 4,546$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,568.02 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Athletics | 36c | 4,500$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.99 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 32c | 3,441$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.45 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Phillies | 59c | 3,164$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.31 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Athletics | 51c | 2,353$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.94 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Athletics | 36c | 2,215$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.53 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Athletics | 37c | 2,135$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.85 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Phillies | 61c | 2,057$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.82 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaae…8a95backed Phillies | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.99 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e9…0501backed Athletics | 39c | 1,981$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.41 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…d764backed Athletics | 50c | 1,943$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.15 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Athletics | 43c | 1,423$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.7 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Phillies | 53c | 1,251$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.26 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ce…c3c2backed Athletics | 37c | 1,150$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.49 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…c2f8backed Phillies | 64c | 1,106$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.12 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Athletics | 41c | 1,101$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.41 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Athletics | 36c | 1,100$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.98 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Athletics | 37c | 1,083$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.29 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Athletics | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Athletics | 39c | 996.05$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.59 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Phillies | 51c | 951.82$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.43 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Phillies | 61c | 829.99$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.29 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Athletics | 43c | 805.38$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.38 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Phillies | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Phillies | 32c | 713.29$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.86 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Athletics | 37c | 709.81$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.18 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Phillies | 15c | 688.39$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.26 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Phillies | 36c | 641.44$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.1 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Phillies | 33c | 584.42$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.39 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Phillies | 51c | 566.2$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.76 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Phillies | 19c | 553.73$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…8250backed Phillies | 58c | 467.48$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Athletics | 72c | 439.6$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.75 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Phillies | 52c | 408.98$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.78 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Phillies | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a95…9bbbbacked Phillies | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Phillies | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Phillies | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Phillies | 20c | 310$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Phillies | 62c | 279.03$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…e1b0backed Phillies | 45c | 268.1$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Athletics | 47c | 268.09$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.09 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 53c | 260$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.72 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Phillies | 58c | 259.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Athletics | 49c | 239.28$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.04 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…f8edbacked Phillies | 62c | 225.81$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Phillies | 51c | 208.41$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.29 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…4d0bbacked Athletics | 38c | 208.07$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.43 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Phillies | 31c | 207.09$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.05 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Phillies | 62c | 201.61$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Phillies | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Phillies | 62c | 193.55$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Phillies | 27c | 186.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.18 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Phillies | 60c | 179$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.12 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Athletics | 39c | 178.1$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.55 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x563f…786ebacked Athletics | 26c | 177.32$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.63 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Phillies | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb58d…818ebacked Phillies | 47c | 162.34$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.92 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Athletics | 39c | 160$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf094…6fd5backed Phillies | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Athletics | 46c | 145.21$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.27 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba9d…8165backed Phillies | 62c | 140.26$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.96 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Phillies | 14c | 139.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Phillies | 23c | 131.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Phillies | 61c | 127$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.47 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Athletics | 56c | 123.8$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.88 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…9801backed Phillies | 64c | 115.63$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Athletics | 35c | 111$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.15 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Athletics | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Athletics | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Athletics | 38c | 98.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.07 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d27…f6cfbacked Athletics | 42c | 93.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.19 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…ae97backed Phillies | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Athletics | 48c | 73.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Athletics | 45c | 57.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Athletics | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…55e4backed Phillies | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb97…add3backed Phillies | 55c | 49.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Phillies | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8290…6a65backed Phillies | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x946b…5857backed Athletics | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…7fbfbacked Phillies | 25c | 43.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Phillies | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Phillies | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Phillies | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Phillies | 51c | 37.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…e0e1backed Phillies | 65c | 36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa8…9a9ebacked Phillies | 56c | 34.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…1106backed Phillies | 60c | 33.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.