Fifa International · resolved market
Croatia to score first vs. England?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b9446cc9f57661e513ce9383e41dcabaa317ee3fd945a03be76071df704b914
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d64…92d4backed Yes | 0c | 4,977$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 69c | 2,011$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.4 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 32c | 1,531$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 68c | 1,489$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.56 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 70c | 1,431$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.13 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…6a99backed Yes | 32c | 1,250$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 32c | 1,120$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.48 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 31c | 1,002$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.77 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 70c | 876.51$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.24 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 67c | 724.92$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.22 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…6b9cbacked Yes | 28c | 703.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.82 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 31c | 644.25$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.56 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 69c | 608.44$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.12 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef5…3881backed Yes | 29c | 506$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 67c | 416.96$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.67 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 30c | 405.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.94 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 68c | 375.39$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.97 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 72c | 354.89$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.96 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 31c | 346.37$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.37 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea2…de87backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 20.3%25 W · 98 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ca…ebd1backed Yes | 33c | 272.73$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 4c | 264.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b0…588fbacked Yes | 32c | 218.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 213 | 21.1%45 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 31c | 209.87$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.19 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 70c | 194.67$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 72c | 192.1$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.27 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Yes | 59c | 166.66$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3176…3990backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 65c | 148.54$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.93 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 30c | 116.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 30c | 106.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3673backed No | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x407b…11c0backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…bb21backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 308 | 18.5%57 W · 251 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 69c | 66.89$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fd…b710backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 330 | 40%132 W · 198 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3109…4ef4backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 30c | 59.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Yes | 31c | 54.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 143 | 17.5%25 W · 118 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes | 31c | 48.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 300 | 11.3%34 W · 266 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…0aa5backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 67c | 45.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…98fabacked Yes | 33c | 42.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 69c | 40.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 68c | 35.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcac9…47a9backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf9…6c41backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 199 | 39.7%79 W · 120 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 68c | 15.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Croatia to score first vs. England?this page
- England to score first vs. Croatia?Yes won
- England vs. Croatia: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.