Fifa International · resolved market
England to score first vs. Croatia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2fc7c648f3fabd1a74d0126995eac7c37b457370c7439b71295594e4c25128f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 62c | 2,217$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.93 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 38c | 2,057$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.05 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 38c | 1,795$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.22 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 62c | 1,543$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.86 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 38c | 1,484$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.86 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…7c26backed Yes | 62c | 1,150$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 62c | 1,014$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.77 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 37c | 999.95$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.98 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 39c | 999.92$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.97 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 30c | 947.38$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.73 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 39c | 608.44$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.52 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked No | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…695bbacked Yes | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 116 | 65.5%76 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca09…511bbacked Yes | 62c | 449.24$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.71 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 38c | 442.71$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.23 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 38c | 439.72$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.1 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 38c | 383.78$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.84 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 36c | 344.15$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.89 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 245 | 55.1%135 W · 110 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 6c | 285.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 61c | 273.06$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.57 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57e1…c97fbacked Yes | 62c | 270.97$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.97 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 62c | 233.87$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.87 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Yes | 62c | 169.76$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.51 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f3…ec52backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 27c | 161.38$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.24 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0a50…ca35backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde23…1bc6backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 80c | 160$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 20c | 129.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 322 | 54%174 W · 148 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 69c | 96.96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb5…92c3backed Yes | 62c | 87.1$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b5…a92cbacked Yes | 62c | 86.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7eb…bfbfbacked Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe618…cce6backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd7…aa43backed Yes | 62c | 78.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 38c | 71.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d9…ffa1backed Yes | 66c | 60.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +10.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…2fc4backed Yes | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 297 | 66.7%198 W · 99 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1848…1b2fbacked Yes | 62c | 47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb6…9e4dbacked Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…009fbacked Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf58e…a0b0backed Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb76…0a16backed Yes | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74e…953cbacked Yes | 61c | 35.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 39c | 35.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbb…bec7backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d6…8704backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…32b8backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x406d…aa14backed Yes | 62c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +4.8wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7afa…81b4backed Yes | 62c | 30.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 199 | 39.7%79 W · 120 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…ce88backed No | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 106 | 67%71 W · 35 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1d…245fbacked Yes | 67c | 29.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b20…de61backed No | 40c | 27.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c74…aa63backed Yes | 69c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…79a9backed Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 120 | 60%72 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a7…34d6backed Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a13…3f00backed Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0de3…860abacked Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccf…cd14backed Yes | 62c | 23.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 141 | 39.7%56 W · 85 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…45ecbacked Yes | 61c | 22.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd6…af78backed Yes | 61c | 21.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…f746backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England to score first vs. Croatia?this page
- Croatia to score first vs. England?No won
- England vs. Croatia: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.