Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UC Davis Aggies vs. UC Riverside Highlanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c09781eb09a354be5037e1033a283ead71d16106d2e2a864a1c27265b6dd48d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UC Davis Aggiesof UC Davis Aggies, UC Riverside Highlanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 21c | 13,447$2,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850.55 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked UC Davis Aggies | 60c | 12,727$7,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,062.59 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 40c | 4,569$1,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.6 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UC Davis Aggies | 78c | 3,769$2,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.01 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 27c | 3,057$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.83 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 9c | 1,605$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.27 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 40c | 1,505$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.82 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked UC Davis Aggies | 73c | 1,292$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.7 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 21c | 1,100$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.64 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 40c | 894.99$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UC Davis Aggies | 77c | 870.37$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.82 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 41c | 770.6$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.74 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 35cpaid | +114.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 40c | 734.5$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.78 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed UC Davis Aggies | 78c | 642.52$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.45 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed UC Davis Aggies | 59c | 619.5$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.15 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 24c | 559.21$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 40c | 530$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 25c | 448.26$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.21 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 18c | 427.23$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.79 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 39c | 376$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.73 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 40c | 293$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.2 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed UC Davis Aggies | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed UC Davis Aggies | 76c | 245.52$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.46 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked UC Davis Aggies | 77c | 205$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.41 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 39c | 179$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.81 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed UC Davis Aggies | 68c | 178.83$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 39c | 127.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 41c | 121.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 23c | 116.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…9b64backed UC Davis Aggies | 77c | 104.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe320…e0c5backed UC Davis Aggies | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked UC Davis Aggies | 80c | 87.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed UC Davis Aggies | 65c | 86.15$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked UC Davis Aggies | 70c | 83.89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…fe0ebacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 22c | 73.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea99…4c44backed UC Davis Aggies | 78c | 67.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed UC Davis Aggies | 78c | 64.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked UC Davis Aggies | 79c | 64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed UC Davis Aggies | 60c | 60.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed UC Davis Aggies | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed UC Davis Aggies | 65c | 55.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 35c | 55.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 40c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed UC Davis Aggies | 73c | 48.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 40c | 47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 39c | 43.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 28c | 41.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 40c | 33.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 40c | 25.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…5bacbacked UC Davis Aggies | 76c | 19.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0110…af5dbacked UC Davis Aggies | 75c | 18.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked UC Davis Aggies | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbe…993abacked UC Davis Aggies | 73c | 13.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UC Davis Aggies vs. UC Riverside Highlandersthis page
- UC Davis Aggies vs. UC Riverside Highlanders: O/U 148.5Over won
- UC Davis Aggies vs. UC Riverside Highlanders: O/U 149.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.