Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ca8f87c8e7f2461b3bb70233c7903ef9d7f47a6884b845224371de3381defe6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed Yes | 59c | 899.52$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.81 | 602 | 36.5%220 W · 382 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 54c | 643.06$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc17…886abacked No | 41c | 463$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.62 | 72 | 81.9%59 W · 13 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 51c | 401.72$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.92 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 27c | 378.26$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.16 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 42c | 316.25$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.36 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 41c | 292$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.28 | 523 | 22.6%118 W · 405 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…db74backed Yes | 28c | 286.97$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 260 | 25%65 W · 195 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 43c | 280.97$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.31 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fd…d854backed No | 40c | 241$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1981…7e5ebacked No | 40c | 241$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 42c | 208.47$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.78 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7342…d5b4backed No | 46c | 207$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.96 | 159 | 66.7%106 W · 53 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x987f…b37dbacked Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 41c | 196.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.77 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 41c | 181.65$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.24 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 59c | 167$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.53 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 43c | 156.23$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.73 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 46c | 155.26$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.14 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 15c | 145.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked Yes | 58c | 141.91$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.31 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…004ebacked Yes | 57c | 139.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 283 | 68.6%194 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x935c…fb8fbacked Yes | 36c | 139.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbe…b95ebacked No | 72c | 138.05$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 419 | 66.6%279 W · 140 L | +36.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 57c | 132.19$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb26d…73f7backed Yes | 51c | 130.82$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.8 | 252 | 61.9%156 W · 96 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 40c | 129$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…d600backed Yes | 51c | 125.26$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.19 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 49c | 125.06$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.85 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 53c | 121$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.08 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…a42dbacked Yes | 17c | 118.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 203 | 27.1%55 W · 148 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dca…ebaabacked Yes | 58c | 112.49$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.24 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 62c | 107.65$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…485fbacked Yes | 54c | 103.7$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 70c | 91.05$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 68c | 89.31$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 44c | 87.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 403 | 37.2%150 W · 253 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 45c | 85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cc…6171backed Yes | 52c | 83.39$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 379 | 42.5%161 W · 218 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 48c | 82.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 461 | 48.8%225 W · 236 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd052…d930backed Yes | 61c | 78.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31af…5c86backed No | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 318 | 36.8%117 W · 201 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 41c | 73.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441a…e9c7backed No | 41c | 72.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 395 | 43.5%172 W · 223 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…4ca8backed Yes | 54c | 71.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x304b…a619backed No | 41c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc68e…fb84backed Yes | 51c | 66.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked No | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 542 | 53%287 W · 255 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f7…c133backed Yes | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 185 | 55.7%103 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 52c | 56.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…516cbacked No | 77c | 56.86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.28per pick | 63cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…1686backed No | 45c | 56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 641 | 67.6%433 W · 208 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 40c | 46.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb3…2c94backed Yes | 26c | 46.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 149 | 19.5%29 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd37…9135backed No | 59c | 46.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 179 | 40.8%73 W · 106 L | +29.0wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 41c | 44.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 56c | 44.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…9373backed No | 43c | 44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 56 | 75%42 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e44…2c35backed Yes | 58c | 43.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…d8e3backed No | 45c | 43.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 41c | 43.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 62c | 43.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 69c | 42.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e20…dddcbacked Yes | 59c | 42.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 285 | 46.3%132 W · 153 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked No | 42c | 42.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 818 | 55%450 W · 368 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…a808backed Yes | 56c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 67c | 39.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 43c | 36.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 44c | 35.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed No | 73c | 35.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 97 | 69.1%67 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 54c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 60c | 34.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…2162backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 58c | 34.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7c…34e7backed No | 52c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 185 | 67.6%125 W · 60 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…4ffabacked No | 40c | 32.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 760 | 59.2%450 W · 310 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3e…3865backed Yes | 51c | 32.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 91 | 76.9%70 W · 21 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…3d88backed Yes | 62c | 31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 478 | 66.5%318 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…a7a5backed Yes | 58c | 29.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 425 | 55.1%234 W · 191 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 46c | 29.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a9…6f76backed No | 75c | 29.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 59c | 28.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 44c | 28.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked Yes | 58c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 67c | 27.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e0…e538backed Yes | 58c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bed…bbf5backed No | 65c | 26.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +12.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac22…363ebacked Yes | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 142 | 43.7%62 W · 80 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93cc…454ebacked No | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 255 | 41.2%105 W · 150 L | +22.4wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…c039backed Yes | 60c | 24.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 182 | 42.3%77 W · 105 L | -19.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…c7f7backed Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39c3…e155backed Yes | 61c | 24.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 48c | 21.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3770backed Yes | 58c | 21.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf651…86b1backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 14?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 14?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.