Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f7fe9a4a52a1bb025591a5dd504b07d4a70a2cedf657a01e8dbb9cfd00d0393
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 38c | 1,007$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.21 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…5d54backed No | 63c | 988.84$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.85 | 283 | 24.7%70 W · 213 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 64c | 411.7$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.77 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 38c | 339.56$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.53 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 50c | 329.78$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.46 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…2718backed No | 59c | 272.94$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.34 | 427 | 54.6%233 W · 194 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 37c | 240.25$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.25 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 61c | 185.53$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.81 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x457e…72ddbacked No | 56c | 169.9$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.14 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 62c | 148.46$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 36c | 144.51$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 38c | 140.84$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.2 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 58c | 129.93$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.61 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 30c | 124.18$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.94 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 38c | 123.93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.38 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed No | 67c | 119.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.38 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 12c | 116.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 38c | 105.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.74 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked No | 65c | 100.16$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x173a…eb85backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffa…d06bbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 36c | 94.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.93 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 38c | 93.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 42c | 92.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 20c | 90.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…04e1backed Yes | 43c | 84.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 371 | 44.2%164 W · 207 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 57c | 84.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 64c | 78.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 37c | 78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 38c | 77.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 67c | 75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc9…bfbcbacked No | 67c | 74.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 185 | 65.4%121 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 35c | 70.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 61c | 70.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 31c | 66.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 68c | 59.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 45c | 59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc06…8d59backed Yes | 42c | 58.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec3d…0a55backed Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…af28backed Yes | 43c | 53.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 56c | 53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2350…a351backed No | 69c | 50.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9387…d659backed Yes | 43c | 50.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 271 | 30.6%83 W · 188 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed Yes | 23c | 50.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.63 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbc…e05dbacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 65c | 48.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcff7…2fb1backed Yes | 30c | 46.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 30c | 43.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6784…7565backed Yes | 34c | 43.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1987…1d94backed Yes | 33c | 42.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b6…3b38backed No | 72c | 41.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 471 | 75.6%356 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf73b…10bfbacked Yes | 37c | 41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 283 | 44.5%126 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x296e…0b9abacked Yes | 42c | 40.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd615…ae32backed Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 339 | 62.8%213 W · 126 L | +40.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf993…ad52backed Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3609…3a0bbacked Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…9f83backed Yes | 79c | 38.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 84 | 76.2%64 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 34c | 38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 37c | 35.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 36c | 34.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe45…52cbbacked Yes | 35c | 34.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 40c | 33.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fb…182cbacked Yes | 65c | 32.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 65c | 32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b72…dc2ebacked Yes | 34c | 31.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 284 | 41.5%118 W · 166 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 46c | 31.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 66c | 30.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…e100backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 227 | 44.1%100 W · 127 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 38c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…a7a5backed No | 69c | 27.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 425 | 55.1%234 W · 191 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…89d9backed Yes | 40c | 26.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 293 | 45.1%132 W · 161 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked No | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 542 | 53%287 W · 255 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3e…814abacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 69c | 23.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 51c | 21.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 63c | 19.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1dc…4f72backed No | 64c | 16.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 241 | 64.7%156 W · 85 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbe…b95ebacked Yes | 74c | 15.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 419 | 66.6%279 W · 140 L | +36.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on July 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on July 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 6?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.