MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f997d046c23a16be6f8f02da6089ab462c176108f361b10297d41c500dc6b3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago White Soxof Kansas City Royals, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 16,907$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 8,903$4,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,006.52 | 441 | 54.2%239 W · 202 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 7,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Kansas City Royals | 0c | 5,700$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 5,555$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.75 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 4,600$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.67 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 3,712$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.28 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…597abacked Kansas City Royals | 5c | 3,608$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.48 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b9…04f6backed Kansas City Royals | 3c | 3,546$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.41 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Kansas City Royals | 1c | 2,710$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 2,527$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.87 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…8a89backed Kansas City Royals | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 68 | 1.5%1 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 2,360$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.93 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 2,200$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 1,804$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.85 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Chicago White Sox | 56c | 1,372$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.54 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 1,288$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.81 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 1,241$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.07 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Chicago White Sox | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 863.58$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.61 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 644.78$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.92 | 155 | 42.6%66 W · 89 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 600.05$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.02 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 581.81$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.81 | 963 | 49%472 W · 491 L | -39.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Kansas City Royals | 38c | 564.62$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.93 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Kansas City Royals | 44c | 550.74$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.33 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Chicago White Sox | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 533.11$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.23 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 501.59$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.71 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…3a77backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 466.16$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.11 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 398.27$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.21 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 368.7$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.81 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Chicago White Sox | 78c | 353.8$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 332.33$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.21 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 310.22$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.7 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 592 | 52.7%312 W · 280 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 290$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.4 | 710 | 44.5%316 W · 394 L | -23.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 290$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 965 | 53%511 W · 454 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 278.49$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.11 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 273$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.71 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 219.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 520 | 45.2%235 W · 285 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Chicago White Sox | 55c | 215$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.75 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 210$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 1,326 | 44%583 W · 743 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Chicago White Sox | 61c | 205.57$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.34 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 180$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 180$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 1,293 | 43.5%562 W · 731 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 175.09$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.01 | 1,003 | 44.6%447 W · 556 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 171.14$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 170$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 1,221 | 43.4%530 W · 691 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 169.19$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.03 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…053abacked Chicago White Sox | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago White Sox | 56c | 144.97$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.46 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 129.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 1,055 | 50.3%531 W · 524 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 129.35$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.21 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 128.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.83 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 128.14$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 592 | 43.2%256 W · 336 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Chicago White Sox | 55c | 110.09$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.54 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 110.08$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 102.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago White Sox | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 99.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 676 | 53.1%359 W · 317 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…7ef8backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 451 | 49.2%222 W · 229 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…7398backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 671 | 43.2%290 W · 381 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 456 | 50.4%230 W · 226 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kansas City Royals | 26c | 77.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb4…1a00backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 77.4$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91bc…28d6backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 785 | 50.2%394 W · 391 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…ae92backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 167 | 51.5%86 W · 81 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4c…fc89backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 63.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 298 | 43.6%130 W · 168 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Kansas City Royals | 51c | 58.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…c664backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | -46.7wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 54.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…a6f9backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 54.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +8.1wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Kansas City Royals | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…94d4backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 251 | 55.4%139 W · 112 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadf2…74ebbacked Kansas City Royals | 44c | 48.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 414 | 44%182 W · 232 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Chicago White Sox | 76c | 46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 955 | 55.2%527 W · 428 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…4280backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 44.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a27…2fdcbacked Chicago White Sox | 55c | 43.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c4…622fbacked Chicago White Sox | 55c | 36.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Chicago White Sox | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Chicago White Sox | 54c | 35.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 33.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 32.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 1,828 | 54.1%989 W · 839 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1930…691cbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Soxthis page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.