Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on April 14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72469aa8405fb2b8b47afbe6f4a693520108e06433f93503c51442e72a92ddb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5108…83b4backed No | 0c | 15,369$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…adb6backed No | 26c | 9,310$2,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,464.18 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c3…2e3fbacked Yes | 70c | 5,683$3,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.04 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed No | 55c | 5,594$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,054.51 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 33c | 3,714$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,485.24 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9047…2959backed No | 76c | 2,802$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.36 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…f5adbacked Yes | 55c | 2,460$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bd…e555backed No | 79c | 2,077$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.99 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadb4…e282backed Yes | 65c | 1,838$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 25c | 1,580$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.08 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 59c | 1,518$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.34 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…7a17backed Yes | 41c | 1,436$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.12 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed No | 12c | 1,349$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.94 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea8…e6cfbacked Yes | 53c | 1,166$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.1 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 24c | 1,063$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.52 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 6c | 1,006$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.36 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7384…1ebdbacked No | 5c | 831.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe4…d1c0backed No | 78c | 802.99$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.37 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 18c | 728.58$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.76 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa2…15eabacked No | 2c | 649.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f16…7013backed No | 2c | 605.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed No | 3c | 600$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 63 | 1.6%1 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed No | 12c | 545$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 263 | 27.8%73 W · 190 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…cf4bbacked No | 55c | 510.34$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.53 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe131…33e5backed No | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3d…1e5abacked No | 3c | 480$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 3.8%2 W · 50 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 30c | 464.77$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 43c | 406.69$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.41 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…1a73backed Yes | 36c | 400.38$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.97 | 186 | 68.8%128 W · 58 L | +27.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2988…48ebbacked Yes | 40c | 390.88$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.01 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 55c | 374.58$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.85 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 28c | 351.65$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.44 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd16f…2badbacked Yes | 19c | 346.13$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.83 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca4…d41abacked Yes | 41c | 341.17$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.96 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…6754backed Yes | 71c | 336.25$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 354 | 65%230 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 38c | 328.69$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.69 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 39c | 292.57$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.23 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4d…ee6abacked Yes | 76c | 271.19$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9a…f6e9backed Yes | 63c | 256.51$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56a6…0529backed No | 20c | 231.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…1a68backed No | 75c | 222.08$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.8 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 17c | 220$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…4883backed Yes | 19c | 216.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.83 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 18c | 214.68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.13 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed No | 5c | 212.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 73 | 5.5%4 W · 69 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +161.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d3…e694backed Yes | 32c | 207.13$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.12 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 78c | 200$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…4dc0backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 18cpaid | +158.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x003a…485cbacked Yes | 21c | 196.92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.9 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…62e3backed Yes | 34c | 195.86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.85 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 17c | 192.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.17 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 19c | 183.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.88 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked No | 15c | 168.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5485…0864backed No | 25c | 168.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc12f…5c57backed Yes | 27c | 167.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.65 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 14c | 166.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.57 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 79c | 164.49$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.22 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 28c | 153.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked No | 64c | 150.7$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.13 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 24c | 150$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.5 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 74c | 146.95$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 12c | 145.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.82 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb05…1b2fbacked Yes | 19c | 143.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.4 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +118%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked No | 13c | 140.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…9c96backed Yes | 56c | 139.78$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe47e…f8abbacked No | 34c | 137.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 240 | 66.3%159 W · 81 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x947b…b05ebacked Yes | 20c | 136.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.64 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3c…017bbacked Yes | 19c | 134.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 130$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf5…8483backed No | 75c | 129.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d20…d646backed Yes | 77c | 127.54$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 20c | 113.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.77 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c55…484ebacked Yes | 55c | 109.39$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.43 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 44c | 107$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.79 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…97abbacked No | 41c | 104.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 24c | 103.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fa…047dbacked No | 16c | 103.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf87…1949backed Yes | 18c | 101.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x121f…4765backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 285 | 17.9%51 W · 234 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309c…09b5backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 288 | 39.9%115 W · 173 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…e582backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bf…81a6backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.5 | 602 | 36.5%220 W · 382 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…95f3backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…ca1cbacked Yes | 47c | 93.93$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 42c | 92.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 34c | 84.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.39 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…9671backed Yes | 40c | 83.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.34 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…9534backed Yes | 25c | 82.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.24 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…db74backed Yes | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e40…f89cbacked No | 66c | 78.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 245 | 69.8%171 W · 74 L | +30.9wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa3…bb15backed Yes | 60c | 76.72$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…8147backed Yes | 22c | 75.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 57c | 75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c0…646ebacked No | 76c | 71.4$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.91 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on April 14?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or below on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.