Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x744f2eb82c1c0193da45469ab049c869a8f955a04ec73ffdfff2303b9e88b36c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 10c | 259.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 50c | 217.36$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.93 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 49c | 213.94$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.44 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…ccddbacked No | 19c | 202.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 46c | 196.86$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.63 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 27c | 163.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…1e4ebacked Yes | 75c | 150.27$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 321 | 47.4%152 W · 169 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 50c | 148.32$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.72 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 39c | 148.03$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 13c | 136.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1b…3e49backed Yes | 40c | 130.61$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.81 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 22c | 130.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 67c | 114.92$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 49c | 109.81$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.13 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked Yes | 77c | 107.56$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 399 | 66.2%264 W · 135 L | +33.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 20c | 104.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…1646backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 56c | 99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.48 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 34c | 98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 30c | 95.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4b…f395backed Yes | 54c | 90.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 41c | 89.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 26c | 88.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 48c | 76.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 52c | 76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 62c | 72.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…2d4bbacked No | 26c | 69.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 31c | 69.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f9…8d24backed No | 58c | 69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 477 | 38.8%185 W · 292 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 22c | 66.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 45c | 64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 52c | 63.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…cb59backed No | 18c | 63.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 495 | 43.6%216 W · 279 L | +31.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 52c | 62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 47c | 54.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8629…bdf5backed Yes | 45c | 52.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 35c | 52.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 47c | 50.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 40c | 50.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…f7e6backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…868cbacked Yes | 46c | 49.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 54c | 49.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 31c | 48.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 48c | 48.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 50c | 47.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…1d89backed Yes | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 555 | 38.4%213 W · 342 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…ed32backed Yes | 67c | 46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked No | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3728…a76dbacked Yes | 49c | 41.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…b923backed Yes | 71c | 41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b72…dc2ebacked Yes | 47c | 40.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 284 | 41.5%118 W · 166 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 32c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0a92backed Yes | 77c | 38.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 51c | 38.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 30c | 38.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…4e2dbacked Yes | 55c | 36.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 69c | 36.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 54c | 35.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 37c | 35.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…2b94backed No | 62c | 33.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97bd…f2adbacked No | 60c | 32.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 45c | 32.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 48c | 31.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed Yes | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 541 | 54%292 W · 249 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 49c | 29.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ed…9d98backed Yes | 78c | 25.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 822 | 68.7%565 W · 257 L | +72.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 60c | 24.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6f…8cfcbacked Yes | 47c | 22.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 197 | 34%67 W · 130 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 55c | 22.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b18…2639backed Yes | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 438 | 42%184 W · 254 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 54c | 21.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 57c | 20.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…9a9cbacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 649 | 60.2%391 W · 258 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf993…ad52backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…2c6bbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 188 | 14.4%27 W · 161 L | -14.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 59c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 59c | 18.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…ff15backed No | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 66c | 15.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 5?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.