MLB · resolved market
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7546ef956f4e503bda9e82e234d2bea67013328ea546d093241113c3fdf9bb5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Washington Nationals, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Washington Nationals | 76c | 9,941$7,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,426.89 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Rockies | 19c | 4,532$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.5 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Colorado Rockies | 59c | 4,159$2,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.81 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies | 38c | 4,017$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.83 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 3,692$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,355.92 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 3,145$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.75 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Colorado Rockies | 55c | 2,202$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.21 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 1,611$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.16 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Colorado Rockies | 55c | 1,242$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.1 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Colorado Rockies | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals | 68c | 665.51$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.89 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 609.06$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.49 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Colorado Rockies | 16c | 594.24$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Colorado Rockies | 54c | 542$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.46 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Colorado Rockies | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 380.57$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.27 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Colorado Rockies | 55c | 340$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.5 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Colorado Rockies | 33c | 316.19$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.8 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Colorado Rockies | 59c | 312.49$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.37 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Colorado Rockies | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Colorado Rockies | 41c | 252.78$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.07 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Colorado Rockies | 56c | 196.44$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 190$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Washington Nationals | 60c | 186.63$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.83 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Colorado Rockies | 56c | 179$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.24 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 151.14$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…bb7bbacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 151.12$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.67 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Colorado Rockies | 40c | 113.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Colorado Rockies | 55c | 102.72$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Colorado Rockies | 26c | 98.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Colorado Rockies | 56c | 90.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 81.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.69 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 64.72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Colorado Rockies | 33c | 64.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Washington Nationals | 66c | 55.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 54.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Colorado Rockies | 56c | 51.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Colorado Rockies | 40c | 50.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 59.3%86 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3c…8290backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked Colorado Rockies | 42c | 39.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Colorado Rockies | 56c | 37.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Colorado Rockies | 69c | 34.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…d760backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 33.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6458…2a3bbacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Colorado Rockies | 37c | 27.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6f…cc7cbacked Washington Nationals | 60c | 27.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Colorado Rockies | 55c | 26.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0203…e1e7backed Colorado Rockies | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Colorado Rockies | 59c | 18.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 203 | 62.6%127 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-4.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Washington Nationals vs. Colorado RockiesWashington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 15.5Under won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: Washington Nationals vs. Colorado RockiesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.