Fifa International · resolved market
Will South Korea finish second in Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b726ba1bf044846aa41069f1d488556f1ce5e52daa97aa5b19ea8a772d1f5d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 78c | 1,500$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.85 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 16c | 608.29$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.17 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 16c | 557.44$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.49 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed Yes | 12c | 377.49$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59c6…e6d4backed Yes | 12c | 338.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -62%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d34…3e28backed Yes | 36c | 275.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 47c | 251.14$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.48 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 15c | 236.37$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.14 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 13c | 219$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 39c | 206.91$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.27 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 29c | 182$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.63 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae2…ff6cbacked No | 24c | 180.58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.49 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 65c | 144$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.71 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 15c | 131$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.35 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 19c | 120$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…6123backed Yes | 54c | 118$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.72 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 46c | 117.74$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 64c | 100.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…bed6backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 26c | 70$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 235 | 43%101 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked No | 45c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 55c | 61.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 27c | 58.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…a8b2backed No | 46c | 55.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 166 | 46.4%77 W · 89 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 55c | 47.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 51c | 46.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…b3e1backed No | 42c | 39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb122…b065backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 147 | 39.5%58 W · 89 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 64c | 29.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…2a5fbacked No | 62c | 26.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5527…5d03backed No | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…3afabacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…ce76backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e28…2db0backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…6e17backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 213 | 62%132 W · 81 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will South Korea finish second in Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?this page
- Will Czechia finish second in Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
- Will Mexico finish second in Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
- Will South Africa finish second in Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.