Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Auburn Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f086c58d7029ff0bf0326bfe4a9c3ebda1638790a105ee56a759937b727dab5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auburn Tigersof Arkansas Razorbacks, Auburn Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 7c | 6,536$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.06 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Auburn Tigers | 67c | 6,529$4,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.9 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 43c | 5,892$2,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,533.65 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Auburn Tigers | 56c | 5,308$2,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,335.53 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Auburn Tigers | 56c | 4,500$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.99 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 44c | 3,937$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.17 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.99 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 20c | 2,930$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.29 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 16c | 2,693$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.97 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Auburn Tigers | 55c | 2,669$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.15 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 14c | 2,646$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.46 | 140 | 21.4%30 W · 110 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Auburn Tigers | 73c | 2,169$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.28 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b16…e8b8backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 34c | 2,041$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 29cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Auburn Tigers | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 46c | 1,642$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 44c | 1,142$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.48 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Auburn Tigers | 55c | 1,004$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.7 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 31c | 909.34$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.3 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 16c | 900$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.75 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 46c | 826.44$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.33 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 15c | 693.7$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.47 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Auburn Tigers | 55c | 650.79$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.16 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 34c | 619.07$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.41 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Auburn Tigers | 55c | 586.79$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.06 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 19c | 497$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 22c | 475.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.46 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 19c | 421.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Auburn Tigers | 57c | 361$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.23 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 7c | 306.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Auburn Tigers | 56c | 260$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Auburn Tigers | 61c | 220.9$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.15 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Auburn Tigers | 57c | 193$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 13c | 179$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 13c | 179$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -61%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…9ad6backed Auburn Tigers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Auburn Tigers | 70c | 155.22$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.66 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…b807backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 41c | 143.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.7 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…1befbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 16c | 130$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Auburn Tigers | 69c | 128.63$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x674c…6928backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b05…25dfbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 20c | 101.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba4…1f1dbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 44c | 97.39$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Auburn Tigers | 57c | 96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Auburn Tigers | 68c | 86.06$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Auburn Tigers | 62c | 80.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 45c | 73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Auburn Tigers | 66c | 61.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 20c | 60.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 120 | 34.2%41 W · 79 L | -13.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 45c | 59.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45f…f4d8backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed Auburn Tigers | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 48c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…3703backed Auburn Tigers | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 44c | 33.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Auburn Tigers | 52c | 31.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Auburn Tigers | 57c | 30.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 47c | 28.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…ab1cbacked Auburn Tigers | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Auburn Tigers | 57c | 17.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Auburn Tigersthis page
- Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 171.5Under won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-1.5)Auburn Tigers won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-2.5)Auburn Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.